Sport Picks

Peru

Copa de la Liga Estadio Miguel Grau

AD Cantolao

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sport Boys play AD Cantolao in the Copa de la Liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sport Boys averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. AD Cantolao averaged 1 goals scored and 1.76 conceded. In past meetings, Sport Boys won 3, AD Cantolao won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 28, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Sport Boys and 0.81 for AD Cantolao. This points to a Sport Boys double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%

Sport Boys

21%

Draws

27%

AD Cantolao

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Sport Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence

Sport Boys picked up more points recently compared to AD Cantolao.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 0.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 58%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Sport Boys Clean Sheet 26%

AD Cantolao Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 52%

Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sport Boys	AD Cantolao
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	10	6
Draws	7	5
Losses	11	18
Goals Scored	1.07	1
Goals Conceded	1.21	1.76
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Copa de la Liga

Sport Boys vs AD Cantolao

Possession: 40% - 49% Cards: 1 - 2

3:0

Jul 4, 2023 Liga 1

Sport Boys vs AD Cantolao

Possession: 46% - 41% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

May 16, 2023 Liga 1

AD Cantolao vs Sport Boys

Possession: 47% - 59% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Sep 18, 2022 Liga 1

Sport Boys vs AD Cantolao

Possession: 49% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

May 2, 2022 Liga 1

AD Cantolao vs Sport Boys

Possession: 53% - 42% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Llontop M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Da Campo N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

AD Cantolao Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Boys 52 / 100

AD Cantolao 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sport Boys AD Cantolao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sport Boys or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18%

2.27

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sport Boys attacking → ← attacking AD Cantolao

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Boys scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

AD Cantolao let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Sport Boys went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

AD Cantolao lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 23

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Atl.	3	3	0	0	5:1	9
2	Carlos Mannucci	3	2	0	1	6:4	6
3	A. Lima	3	0	1	2	2:5	1
4	Cesar Vallejo	3	0	1	2	2:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	ADA Jaen	2	1	1	0	2:0	4
2	Juan Pablo II	2	0	2	0	0:0	2
3	Comerciantes Unidos	2	0	1	1	0:2	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cajamarca	2	1	1	0	5:3	4
2	Llacuabamba	2	0	2	0	3:3	2
3	FC Cajamarca	2	0	1	1	2:4	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Grau	2	1	1	0	4:3	4
2	Pirata	2	1	0	1	4:3	3
3	Universitario de Deportes	2	0	1	1	1:3	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sport Huancayo	3	2	1	0	4:2	7
2	AD Tarma	3	1	1	1	3:2	4
3	Alianza Huanuco	3	1	1	1	5:5	4
4	Union Minas	3	0	1	2	2:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cienciano	3	3	0	0	6:2	9
2	Deportivo Garcilaso	3	1	1	1	5:3	4
3	Binacional	3	1	0	2	5:9	3
4	Cusco	3	0	1	2	4:6	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Los Chankas	2	2	0	4:0	6
2	Santos FC	2	1	1	2:4	3
3	Ayacucho	2	0	2	1:3	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Moquegua	2	1	1	0	3:2	4
2	Tacna Heroica	2	1	0	1	5:5	3
3	FBC Melgar	2	0	1	1	2:3	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sport Boys	2	1	1	0	5:2	4
2	AD Cantolao	2	1	0	1	4:6	3
3	U. San Martin	2	0	1	1	5:6	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sporting Cristal	3	2	1	0	5:2	7
2	Comerciantes FC	3	1	2	0	2:1	5
3	Union Comercio	3	1	0	2	3:4	3
4	Estudiantil CNI	3	0	1	2	2:5	1