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Sport Boys vs AD Tarma

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Miguel Grau, Callao
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Nunez O.
42'
Urruti L.
45'
Perez L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between Sport Boys and AD Tarma finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sport Boys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Sport Boys
15%
Draws
26%
AD Tarma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sport Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Tarma haven't matched Sport Boys's recent run of results.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Sport Boys taking it.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sport Boys Clean Sheet 20%
AD Tarma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Boys AD Tarma
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.41 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs AD Tarma
2:0
Feb 7, 2026 Liga 1
AD Tarma vs Sport Boys
1:0
Aug 4, 2025 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs AD Tarma
1:0
Feb 27, 2025 Liga 1
AD Tarma vs Sport Boys
2:2
Nov 1, 2024 Liga 1
AD Tarma vs Sport Boys
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Boys 67 / 100
AD Tarma 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Boys AD Tarma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport Boys Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Boys scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

AD Tarma let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sport Boys stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sport Boys VS AD Tarma
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Boys

(Home)
27 Sept
Sport Boys
2 : 5
Alianza Atl.
20 Sept
FBC Melgar
1 : 1
Sport Boys
13 Sept
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
05 Sept
Sport Huancayo
2 : 1
Sport Boys
30 Aug
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Sporting Cristal
Page 1 of 6

AD Tarma

(Away)
27 Sept
AD Tarma
0 : 1
Sporting Cristal
23 Sept
AD Tarma
2 : 1
Cienciano
19 Sept
A. Lima
2 : 0
AD Tarma
06 Sept
FBC Melgar
3 : 0
AD Tarma
30 Aug
AD Tarma
1 : 3
Sport Huancayo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso 10 7 1 2 18:6 22
2 Universitario de Deportes 10 6 2 2 19:16 20
3 Sporting Cristal 10 6 1 3 20:10 19
4 Alianza Atl. 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
5 Sport Huancayo 10 6 1 3 16:13 19
6 Juan Pablo II 10 5 3 2 20:12 18
7 FBC Melgar 10 5 3 2 16:9 18
8 Sport Boys 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
9 Cusco 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
10 A. Lima 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
11 Atletico Grau 10 5 1 4 14:13 16
12 FC Cajamarca 10 3 1 6 18:24 10
13 Comerciantes Unidos 10 2 3 5 17:18 9
14 Cienciano 9 2 1 6 11:17 7
15 Moquegua 10 1 4 5 7:17 7
16 Los Chankas 9 2 1 6 10:23 7
17 AD Tarma 10 1 2 7 7:21 5
18 Cajamarca 10 0 2 8 11:24 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)