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Sport Boys vs AD Tarma

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Miguel Grau, Callao
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sport Boys host AD Tarma in the Liga 1. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Sport Boys at 1 goals for, 0.25 against; AD Tarma at 1.38 for, 1.25 against. Head-to-head, Sport Boys have won 2 to AD Tarma's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 0.81, favoring Sport Boys. The model tips Under 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sport Boys
33%
Draws
27%
AD Tarma
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sport Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Tarma haven't matched Sport Boys's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Sport Boys taking it.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Sport Boys Clean Sheet 68%
AD Tarma Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Boys AD Tarma
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Liga 1
AD Tarma vs Sport Boys
1:0
Aug 4, 2025 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs AD Tarma
1:0
Feb 27, 2025 Liga 1
AD Tarma vs Sport Boys
2:2
Nov 1, 2024 Liga 1
AD Tarma vs Sport Boys
1:0
May 26, 2024 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs AD Tarma
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Boys 50 / 100
AD Tarma 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Boys AD Tarma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Boys scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

AD Tarma let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sport Boys stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sport Boys VS AD Tarma
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
25% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Boys

(Home)
19 Jul
Los Chankas
1 : 0
Sport Boys
11 Jul
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Comerciantes FC
28 Jun
Sport Boys
3 : 0
AD Cantolao
13 Jun
U. San Martin
2 : 2
Sport Boys
30 May
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Comerciantes Unidos
Page 1 of 6

AD Tarma

(Away)
18 Jul
AD Tarma
1 : 2
Universitario de Deportes
10 Jul
Cienciano
2 : 3
AD Tarma
26 Jun
Sport Huancayo
1 : 0
AD Tarma
19 Jun
AD Tarma
3 : 1
Alianza Huanuco
12 Jun
Union Minas
0 : 0
AD Tarma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cusco11004:13
2FBC Melgar11003:13
3Atletico Grau11003:13
4A. Lima11002:13
5Universitario de Deportes11002:13
6Sporting Cristal11001:03
7Los Chankas11001:03
8Comerciantes Unidos10102:21
9Moquegua10102:21
10Juan Pablo II10102:21
11FC Cajamarca10102:21
12Sport Huancayo10011:20
13AD Tarma10011:20
14Sport Boys10010:10
15Deportivo Garcilaso10010:10
16Cienciano10011:30
17Cajamarca10011:30
18Alianza Atl.10011:40
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)