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Sport Boys vs Cienciano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Miguel Grau, Callao
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Garces C.
22' Event
Erustes P.
Assist: Urruti L.
23'
Da Campo N.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between Sport Boys and Cienciano finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sport Boys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sport Boys
20%
Draws
51%
Cienciano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cienciano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Cienciano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Cienciano taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Sport Boys Clean Sheet 17%
Cienciano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Boys Cienciano
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 14
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.27 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs Cienciano
5:1
Mar 9, 2026 Liga 1
Cienciano vs Sport Boys
3:1
Sep 18, 2025 Liga 1
Cienciano vs Sport Boys
2:2
Apr 19, 2025 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs Cienciano
2:2
Jul 30, 2024 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs Cienciano
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Erustes P.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Celi Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Cienciano Compare

Top Goalscorer Garces C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Boys 15 / 100
Cienciano 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Boys Cienciano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cienciano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Sport Boys found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Cienciano conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Sport Boys remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sport Boys VS Cienciano
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Boys

(Home)
06 Oct
Alianza Atl.
3 : 0
Sport Boys
27 Sept
Sport Boys
2 : 5
Alianza Atl.
20 Sept
FBC Melgar
1 : 1
Sport Boys
13 Sept
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
05 Sept
Sport Huancayo
2 : 1
Sport Boys
Page 1 of 6

Cienciano

(Away)
08 Oct
Moquegua
0 : 2
Cienciano
30 Sept
Cienciano
1 : 1
Los Chankas
23 Sept
AD Tarma
2 : 1
Cienciano
18 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 0
Cienciano
11 Sept
Cienciano
2 : 0
Montevideo City
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso 11 7 1 3 18:7 22
2 Sport Huancayo 11 7 1 3 17:13 22
3 Universitario de Deportes 11 6 3 2 21:18 21
4 Sporting Cristal 10 6 1 3 20:10 19
5 Juan Pablo II 11 5 4 2 21:13 19
6 FBC Melgar 11 5 4 2 18:11 19
7 Alianza Atl. 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
8 Sport Boys 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
9 Cusco 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
10 Atletico Grau 11 5 2 4 14:13 17
11 A. Lima 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
12 Cienciano 11 3 2 6 14:18 11
13 FC Cajamarca 11 3 2 6 18:24 11
14 Comerciantes Unidos 11 2 4 5 18:19 10
15 Los Chankas 11 2 3 6 11:24 9
16 Moquegua 11 1 4 6 7:19 7
17 AD Tarma 11 1 3 7 7:21 6
18 Cajamarca 10 0 2 8 11:24 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)