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Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Miguel Grau, Callao
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Ramos Rodriguez C. I.
39'
Gonzalez A.
40'
Alarcon J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between Sport Boys and Deportivo Garcilaso finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sport Boys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Sport Boys
15%
Draws
59%
Deportivo Garcilaso
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deportivo Garcilaso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Sport Boys haven't matched Deportivo Garcilaso's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Deportivo Garcilaso's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Deportivo Garcilaso have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Sport Boys Clean Sheet 16%
Deportivo Garcilaso Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Boys Deportivo Garcilaso
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 12 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.32 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Boys
3:2
Aug 16, 2025 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso
0:1
Mar 29, 2025 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Boys
4:0
Jul 26, 2024 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Boys
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Boys 10 / 100
Deportivo Garcilaso 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Boys Deportivo Garcilaso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Garcilaso Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Boys scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Deportivo Garcilaso has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Sport Boys has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sport Boys VS Deportivo Garcilaso
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Boys

(Home)
06 Oct
Alianza Atl.
3 : 0
Sport Boys
27 Sept
Sport Boys
2 : 5
Alianza Atl.
20 Sept
FBC Melgar
1 : 1
Sport Boys
13 Sept
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
05 Sept
Sport Huancayo
2 : 1
Sport Boys
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Garcilaso

(Away)
10 Oct
Deportivo Garcilaso
0 : 1
Sport Huancayo
19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0
Universitario de Deportes
13 Sept
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2
Atletico Grau
30 Aug
A. Lima
0 : 1
Deportivo Garcilaso
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso 11 7 1 3 18:7 22
2 Sport Huancayo 11 7 1 3 17:13 22
3 Universitario de Deportes 10 6 2 2 19:16 20
4 Sporting Cristal 10 6 1 3 20:10 19
5 Juan Pablo II 11 5 4 2 21:13 19
6 Alianza Atl. 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
7 FBC Melgar 10 5 3 2 16:9 18
8 Sport Boys 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
9 Cusco 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
10 Atletico Grau 11 5 2 4 14:13 17
11 A. Lima 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
12 Cienciano 11 3 2 6 14:18 11
13 FC Cajamarca 11 3 2 6 18:24 11
14 Comerciantes Unidos 11 2 4 5 18:19 10
15 Los Chankas 11 2 3 6 11:24 9
16 Moquegua 11 1 4 6 7:19 7
17 AD Tarma 11 1 3 7 7:21 6
18 Cajamarca 10 0 2 8 11:24 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)