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Sport-ES vs Estrela do Norte

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2016 game between Sport-ES and Estrela do Norte finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sport-ES.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Sport-ES
15%
Draws
71%
Estrela do Norte
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estrela do Norte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Sport-ES haven't matched Estrela do Norte's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Estrela do Norte's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Estrela do Norte here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Sport-ES Clean Sheet 20%
Estrela do Norte Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport-ES Estrela do Norte
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 17
Draws 2 5
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Capixaba 2
Sport-ES vs Estrela do Norte
0:1
Aug 2, 2026 Capixaba 2
Estrela do Norte vs Sport-ES
2:0
Aug 25, 2025 Capixaba 2
Estrela do Norte vs Sport-ES
4:0
Apr 5, 2016 Capixaba
Sport-ES vs Estrela do Norte
3:2
Mar 26, 2016 Capixaba
Estrela do Norte vs Sport-ES
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport-ES 10 / 100
Estrela do Norte 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport-ES Estrela do Norte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estrela do Norte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Sport-ES scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Estrela do Norte has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Sport-ES stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sport-ES VS Estrela do Norte
1.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport-ES

(Home)
29 Aug
Sport-ES
0 : 1
Estrela do Norte
22 Aug
Rive
2 : 0
Sport-ES
19 Aug
Tupy
1 : 0
Sport-ES
16 Aug
Sport-ES
4 : 1
Pinheiros
02 Aug
Estrela do Norte
2 : 0
Sport-ES
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Estrela do Norte

(Away)
19 Sept
Estrela do Norte
2 : 1
Linhares Futebol Clube
12 Sept
Estrela do Norte
3 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
06 Sept
Audax Sao Mateus
1 : 2
Estrela do Norte
29 Aug
Sport-ES
0 : 1
Estrela do Norte
22 Aug
Estrela do Norte
4 : 0
Tupy
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