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Sport-ES vs SAO Mateus

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2016
Sport-ES Logo

Sport-ES

1 - 0
FT
SAO Mateus Logo

SAO Mateus

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sport-ES in this Campeonato Capixaba 2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sport-ES.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Sport-ES
15%
Draws
42%
SAO Mateus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sport-ES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • SAO Mateus haven't matched Sport-ES's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sport-ES's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Sport-ES Clean Sheet 20%
SAO Mateus Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport-ES SAO Mateus
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 2 4
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 1.03 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2016 Capixaba
Sport-ES vs SAO Mateus
2:1
Mar 30, 2016 Capixaba
SAO Mateus vs Sport-ES
4:3
Mar 2, 2016 Capixaba
Sport-ES vs SAO Mateus
1:0
Feb 24, 2016 Capixaba
SAO Mateus vs Sport-ES
0:0
May 2, 2015 Capixaba
SAO Mateus vs Sport-ES
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport-ES 85 / 100
SAO Mateus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport-ES SAO Mateus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport-ES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SAO Mateus conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Difficult form: SAO Mateus registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Sport-ES scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Sport-ES VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport-ES

(Home)
29 Aug
Sport-ES
0 : 1
Estrela do Norte
22 Aug
Rive
2 : 0
Sport-ES
19 Aug
Tupy
1 : 0
Sport-ES
16 Aug
Sport-ES
4 : 1
Pinheiros
02 Aug
Estrela do Norte
2 : 0
Sport-ES
Page 1 of 6

SAO Mateus

(Away)
26 Oct
CTE Colatina
0 : 3
SAO Mateus
19 Oct
SAO Mateus
0 : 6
Linhares Futebol Clube
16 Oct
Pinheiros
5 : 0
SAO Mateus
03 Oct
SAO Mateus
0 : 6
Vilavelhense
28 Sept
SAO Mateus
1 : 5
CTE Colatina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco ES 8 5 2 1 10:5 17
2 Real Noroeste 8 4 3 1 7:4 15
3 Linhares Futebol Clube 8 4 0 4 7:8 12
4 SAO Mateus 8 2 1 5 5:8 7
5 Sport-ES 8 1 2 5 5:9 5
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2016 (Second stage)
Relegation - Campeonato Capixaba 2016 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Ferroviaria 8 5 3 0 10:3 18
2 Galatas 8 3 3 2 6:2 12
3 CA Itapemirim 8 2 4 2 5:4 10
4 Estrela do Norte 8 2 2 4 4:7 8
5 Doze Futebol Clube 8 1 2 5 1:10 5
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2016 (Second stage)
Relegation - Campeonato Capixaba 2016 (Relegation Group)