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Sport-ES vs Tupy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba 2
Sport-ES Logo

Sport-ES

5 - 1
FT
Tupy Logo

Tupy

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Capixaba 2 game between Sport-ES and Tupy finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sport-ES.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Sport-ES
15%
Draws
59%
Tupy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tupy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sport-ES come out ahead of Tupy on wins alone.
  • 26% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sport-ES Clean Sheet 20%
Tupy Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport-ES Tupy
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 2 11
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1.16 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Capixaba 2
Tupy vs Sport-ES
1:0
Jul 21, 2026 Capixaba 2
Sport-ES vs Tupy
5:1
Oct 13, 2024 Capixaba 2
Tupy vs Sport-ES
4:3
Sep 15, 2024 Capixaba 2
Sport-ES vs Tupy
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport-ES 31 / 100
Tupy 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport-ES Tupy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport-ES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Tupy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Sport-ES scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Sport-ES has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sport-ES VS Tupy
1 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport-ES

(Home)
29 Aug
Sport-ES
0 : 1
Estrela do Norte
22 Aug
Rive
2 : 0
Sport-ES
19 Aug
Tupy
1 : 0
Sport-ES
16 Aug
Sport-ES
4 : 1
Pinheiros
02 Aug
Estrela do Norte
2 : 0
Sport-ES
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Tupy

(Away)
22 Aug
Estrela do Norte
4 : 0
Tupy
19 Aug
Tupy
1 : 0
Sport-ES
15 Aug
Rive
1 : 1
Tupy
08 Aug
Pinheiros
1 : 4
Tupy
25 Jul
Tupy
0 : 1
Estrela do Norte
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linhares Futebol Clube 8 6 0 2 22:2 18
2 Audax Sao Mateus 8 5 1 2 15:5 16
3 GEL 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
4 Doze Futebol Clube 8 3 1 4 8:13 10
5 CTE Colatina 8 0 1 7 1:29 1
Promotion - Capixaba 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estrela do Norte 8 7 1 0 21:1 22
2 Rive 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Tupy 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Sport-ES 8 3 0 5 10:9 9
5 Pinheiros 8 0 0 8 5:27 0
Promotion - Capixaba 2 (Play Offs)