Sport Picks

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Sport Huancayo vs AD Tarma

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Huancayo
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sport Huancayo play AD Tarma in the Liga 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sport Huancayo averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. AD Tarma averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. In past meetings, Sport Huancayo won 2, AD Tarma won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 26, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Sport Huancayo and 1.94 for AD Tarma. This points to a AD Tarma double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sport Huancayo
16%
Draws
42%
AD Tarma
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: AD Tarma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Sport Huancayo picked up more points recently compared to AD Tarma.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Sport Huancayo Clean Sheet 10%
AD Tarma Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Huancayo AD Tarma
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.55 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Sport Huancayo vs AD Tarma
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 Liga 1
Sport Huancayo vs AD Tarma
0:1
Aug 9, 2025 Liga 1
AD Tarma vs Sport Huancayo
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 Liga 1
Sport Huancayo vs AD Tarma
2:1
Aug 25, 2024 Liga 1
AD Tarma vs Sport Huancayo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Huancayo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

AD Tarma Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvino J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Huancayo 40 / 100
AD Tarma 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Huancayo AD Tarma

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: AD Tarma or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sport Huancayo attacking → ← attacking AD Tarma

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Huancayo scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

AD Tarma let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Sport Huancayo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

AD Tarma lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 35
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016