Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atl. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Huancayo, Huancayo
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sport Huancayo host Alianza Atl. in the Liga 1. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Alianza Atl. have shipped 1.27 goals a game lately, while Sport Huancayo have conceded 1.58 and scored 1.45. Past meetings favor Sport Huancayo slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 2.19, favoring Alianza Atl.. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sport Huancayo
15%
Draws
38%
Alianza Atl.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sport Huancayo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Alianza Atl. have won more games recently than Sport Huancayo.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Sport Huancayo Clean Sheet 10%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Huancayo Alianza Atl.
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 14 18
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.45 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Sport Huancayo
4:1
Jul 18, 2025 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Sport Huancayo
0:0
Feb 7, 2025 Liga 1
Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atl.
2:1
Aug 5, 2024 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Sport Huancayo
1:1
Feb 23, 2024 Liga 1
Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atl.
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Huancayo 29 / 100
Alianza Atl. 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Huancayo Alianza Atl.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport Huancayo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Huancayo scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Sport Huancayo stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Alianza Atl. has conceded goals in 76% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sport Huancayo VS Alianza Atl.
1.5 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Huancayo

(Home)
10 Oct
Deportivo Garcilaso
0 : 1
Sport Huancayo
20 Sept
Sport Huancayo
3 : 2
Cajamarca
12 Sept
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 1
Sport Huancayo
05 Sept
Sport Huancayo
2 : 1
Sport Boys
30 Aug
AD Tarma
1 : 3
Sport Huancayo
Page 1 of 7

Alianza Atl.

(Away)
06 Oct
Alianza Atl.
3 : 0
Sport Boys
27 Sept
Sport Boys
2 : 5
Alianza Atl.
18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1
Comerciantes Unidos
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1
Alianza Atl.
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2
Cajamarca
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso 11 7 1 3 18:7 22
2 Sport Huancayo 11 7 1 3 17:13 22
3 Universitario de Deportes 10 6 2 2 19:16 20
4 Sporting Cristal 10 6 1 3 20:10 19
5 Juan Pablo II 11 5 4 2 21:13 19
6 Alianza Atl. 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
7 FBC Melgar 10 5 3 2 16:9 18
8 Sport Boys 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
9 Cusco 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
10 Atletico Grau 11 5 2 4 14:13 17
11 A. Lima 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
12 Cienciano 11 3 2 6 14:18 11
13 FC Cajamarca 11 3 2 6 18:24 11
14 Comerciantes Unidos 11 2 4 5 18:19 10
15 Los Chankas 11 2 3 6 11:24 9
16 Moquegua 11 1 4 6 7:19 7
17 AD Tarma 11 1 3 7 7:21 6
18 Cajamarca 10 0 2 8 11:24 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)