Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Huanuco

Peru Peru

Liga 1 2025 Estadio Huancayo
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Mena Y.
(Penalty)
23' Event
Murillo Y.
24'
Pellejero R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 2025 game between Sport Huancayo and Alianza Huanuco finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sport Huancayo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sport Huancayo
28%
Draws
22%
Alianza Huanuco
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sport Huancayo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Sport Huancayo's 1.38 goals per match outpaces what Alianza Huanuco have produced (1).
  • Model gives Sport Huancayo a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Sport Huancayo Clean Sheet 15%
Alianza Huanuco Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Huancayo Alianza Huanuco
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Alianza Huanuco vs Sport Huancayo
1:1
Sep 30, 2025 Liga 1
Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Huanuco
5:1
May 12, 2025 Liga 1
Alianza Huanuco vs Sport Huancayo
0:1
Oct 2, 2021 Liga 1
Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Huanuco
4:3
May 3, 2021 Liga 1
Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Huanuco
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Huancayo Compare

Top Goalscorer Murillo Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barboza S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Alianza Huanuco Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Huancayo 48 / 100
Alianza Huanuco 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Huancayo Alianza Huanuco

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sport Huancayo scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Alianza Huanuco let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Sport Huancayo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sport Huancayo VS Alianza Huanuco
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Deportes17124129:1340
2Cusco17113329:1536
3Sporting Cristal1794429:1331
4A. Lima1794430:1931
5Cienciano1783625:2127
6Los Chankas1790821:2827
7Comerciantes Unidos1775520:2126
8FBC Melgar1767424:1725
9Deportivo Garcilaso1767420:2125
10AD Tarma1774619:2025
11Alianza Atl.1765615:1223
12Sport Huancayo1753928:2818
13Alianza Huanuco17521023:3317
14Atletico Grau1744919:2416
15Sport Boys1744914:2516
16Juan Pablo II1735913:2314
17Ayacucho17421116:2914
18Cajamarca17341016:2813
19Binacional00000:00