Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Huancayo, Huancayo
Mon, Nov 2, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sport Huancayo host FBC Melgar in the Liga 1. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Sport Huancayo have averaged 1.57 scored and 1.57 conceded recently, against FBC Melgar's 1.61 scored and 1.04 conceded. Past meetings favor FBC Melgar slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 4:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.56) point toward FBC Melgar. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Sport Huancayo
20%
Draws
34%
FBC Melgar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sport Huancayo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sport Huancayo come out ahead of FBC Melgar on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sport Huancayo a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FBC Melgar have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Sport Huancayo Clean Sheet 15%
FBC Melgar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Huancayo FBC Melgar
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 12
Draws 5 11
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.57 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Liga 1
FBC Melgar vs Sport Huancayo
4:1
Oct 26, 2025 Liga 1
FBC Melgar vs Sport Huancayo
2:0
Jun 21, 2025 Liga 1
Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar
2:2
Oct 27, 2024 Liga 1
Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar
2:4
May 18, 2024 Liga 1
FBC Melgar vs Sport Huancayo
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Huancayo 48 / 100
FBC Melgar 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Huancayo FBC Melgar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport Huancayo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sport Huancayo scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sport Huancayo stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

FBC Melgar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sport Huancayo VS FBC Melgar
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Huancayo

(Home)
24 Oct
Sport Huancayo
4 : 1
Alianza Atl.
16 Oct
Sport Huancayo
2 : 1
Cusco
10 Oct
Deportivo Garcilaso
0 : 1
Sport Huancayo
20 Sept
Sport Huancayo
3 : 2
Cajamarca
12 Sept
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 1
Sport Huancayo
Page 1 of 6

FBC Melgar

(Away)
23 Oct
Cajamarca
1 : 2
FBC Melgar
17 Oct
FBC Melgar
4 : 2
Deportivo Garcilaso
11 Oct
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2
FBC Melgar
20 Sept
FBC Melgar
1 : 1
Sport Boys
12 Sept
Cusco
0 : 1
FBC Melgar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Huancayo 13 9 1 3 23:15 28
2 Universitario de Deportes 13 8 3 2 28:19 27
3 Deportivo Garcilaso 13 8 1 4 24:12 25
4 Sporting Cristal 13 8 1 4 26:15 25
5 FBC Melgar 13 7 4 2 24:14 25
6 A. Lima 13 7 4 2 20:12 25
7 Juan Pablo II 13 6 4 3 23:16 22
8 Alianza Atl. 13 7 1 5 25:26 22
9 Cusco 13 7 0 6 24:19 21
10 Sport Boys 13 6 3 4 19:14 21
11 Atletico Grau 13 5 3 5 16:17 18
12 Cienciano 13 4 2 7 16:21 14
13 Comerciantes Unidos 13 3 4 6 23:24 13
14 Los Chankas 13 3 3 7 14:29 12
15 FC Cajamarca 13 3 2 8 20:29 11
16 Moquegua 13 2 4 7 8:20 10
17 AD Tarma 13 1 4 8 9:24 7
18 Cajamarca 13 0 2 11 12:28 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)