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Sport Huancayo vs Moquegua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Huancayo, Huancayo
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Sanguinetti J.
14' Event
Chipao R.
Assist: Zapata Y.
33'
Lojas J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between Sport Huancayo and Moquegua finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moquegua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sport Huancayo
15%
Draws
0%
Moquegua
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sport Huancayo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Moquegua haven't matched Sport Huancayo's recent run of results.
  • Sport Huancayo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Sport Huancayo Clean Sheet 68%
Moquegua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Huancayo Moquegua
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.41 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Liga 1
Sport Huancayo vs Moquegua
0:2
Mar 7, 2026 Liga 1
Moquegua vs Sport Huancayo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Huancayo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Moquegua Compare

Top Goalscorer Chipao R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lastre E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Huancayo 95 / 100
Moquegua 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Huancayo Moquegua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport Huancayo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Huancayo found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Sport Huancayo has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Moquegua's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Moquegua has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sport Huancayo VS Moquegua
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Huancayo

(Home)
10 Oct
Deportivo Garcilaso
0 : 1
Sport Huancayo
20 Sept
Sport Huancayo
3 : 2
Cajamarca
12 Sept
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 1
Sport Huancayo
05 Sept
Sport Huancayo
2 : 1
Sport Boys
30 Aug
AD Tarma
1 : 3
Sport Huancayo
Page 1 of 6

Moquegua

(Away)
08 Oct
Moquegua
0 : 2
Cienciano
20 Sept
Juan Pablo II
4 : 0
Moquegua
13 Sept
Moquegua
1 : 2
Sporting Cristal
05 Sept
Cusco
2 : 0
Moquegua
30 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 4
Alianza Atl.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso 11 7 1 3 18:7 22
2 Sport Huancayo 11 7 1 3 17:13 22
3 Universitario de Deportes 10 6 2 2 19:16 20
4 Sporting Cristal 10 6 1 3 20:10 19
5 Juan Pablo II 11 5 4 2 21:13 19
6 Alianza Atl. 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
7 FBC Melgar 10 5 3 2 16:9 18
8 Sport Boys 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
9 Cusco 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
10 Atletico Grau 11 5 2 4 14:13 17
11 A. Lima 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
12 Cienciano 11 3 2 6 14:18 11
13 FC Cajamarca 11 3 2 6 18:24 11
14 Comerciantes Unidos 11 2 4 5 18:19 10
15 Los Chankas 11 2 3 6 11:24 9
16 Moquegua 11 1 4 6 7:19 7
17 AD Tarma 11 1 3 7 7:21 6
18 Cajamarca 10 0 2 8 11:24 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)