Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sport & Leisure vs Lurgan Celtic

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
83'

AI Match Summary

Lurgan Celtic in this Irish League Cup 2017/2018 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Sport & Leisure
22%
Draws
60%
Lurgan Celtic
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Lurgan Celtic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sport & Leisure lately — more wins on the board than Lurgan Celtic.
  • Win probability leans Lurgan Celtic's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Sport & Leisure have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sport & Leisure, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Sport & Leisure Clean Sheet 13%
Lurgan Celtic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport & Leisure Lurgan Celtic
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 3
Draws 0 5
Losses 17 23
Goals Scored 0.67 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.67 4.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.67 4.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2017 Irish League Cup
Sport & Leisure vs Lurgan Celtic
0:1
Feb 12, 2011 IFA Championship 2
Sport & Leisure vs Lurgan Celtic
2:0
Aug 14, 2010 IFA Championship 2
Lurgan Celtic vs Sport & Leisure
1:1
Feb 13, 2010 IFA Championship 2
Lurgan Celtic vs Sport & Leisure
2:1
Sep 12, 2009 IFA Championship 2
Sport & Leisure vs Lurgan Celtic
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport & Leisure 19 / 100
Lurgan Celtic 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport & Leisure Lurgan Celtic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lurgan Celtic conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.

Sport & Leisure's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Lurgan Celtic has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sport & Leisure VS Lurgan Celtic
0.67 Goals Scored 0.63
2.67 Goals Conceded 4.75
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport & Leisure

(Home)
03 Nov
Crewe
1 : 0
Sport & Leisure
29 Sept
Kilmore Rec
1 : 2
Sport & Leisure
28 Aug
Carrick Rangers
6 : 0
Sport & Leisure
04 Nov
Sport & Leisure
0 : 2
Dundela
30 Sept
Sport & Leisure
2 : 0
Windmill
Page 1 of 6

Lurgan Celtic

(Away)
27 Aug
Crusaders
:
Lurgan Celtic
17 Aug
Hanover
:
Lurgan Celtic
03 Nov
Lurgan Celtic
2 : 3
Portstewart
29 Sept
Lurgan Celtic
:
St. Patricks Young
28 Aug
Ballinamallard
4 : 1
Lurgan Celtic
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ballymena-
TBD-
TBD-
Knockbreda-
Harland & Wolff3
Armagh0
TBD-
Portadown-
Glenavon-
TBD-
TBD-
Donegal-
Queens University-
TBD-
TBD-
Ards-
Carrick Rangers-
TBD-
Annagh0
Dergview4
Loughgall-
TBD-
TBD-
Glentoran-
PSNI-
TBD-
Portstewart2
Limavady3
Banbridge-
TBD-
TBD-
Cliftonville-
Dungannon-
TBD-
TBD-
Newry City-
Lurgan Celtic1
Sport & Leisure0
TBD-
Warrenpoint-
Institute-
TBD-
TBD-
Moyola-
Newington FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Ballyclare-
Linfield-
TBD-
TBD-
Lisburn Distillery-
Tobermore-
TBD-
TBD-
Ballinamallard-
Coleraine-
TBD-
TBD-
Larne-
Dundela-
TBD-
TBD-
Crusaders-
1/16-finals
Ballymena3
Knockbreda0
Harland & Wolff2
Portadown3
Glenavon5
Donegal1
Queens University0
Ards5
Carrick Rangers3
Dergview0
Loughgall0
Glentoran1
PSNI1
Limavady0
Banbridge0
Cliftonville4
Dungannon4
Newry City0
Lurgan Celtic1
Warrenpoint4
Institute2
Moyola1
Newington FC0
Ballyclare2
Linfield6
Lisburn Distillery0
Tobermore0
Ballinamallard1
Coleraine4
Larne1
Dundela1
Crusaders2
1/8-finals
Ballymena2
Portadown0
Glenavon0
Ards4
Carrick Rangers1
Glentoran0
PSNI0
Cliftonville7
Dungannon1
Warrenpoint0
Institute0
Ballyclare1
Linfield3
Ballinamallard0
Coleraine2
Crusaders3
Quarter-finals
Ballymena3
Ards2
Carrick Rangers0
Cliftonville1
Dungannon2
Ballyclare1
Linfield0
Crusaders2
Semi-finals
Ballymena3
Cliftonville1
Dungannon2
Crusaders1
Final
Ballymena1
Dungannon3