Sport Picks
Sport Recife U20 vs Atletico-MG U20
Brazil
Copa do Brasil U20 
Match Events
8'
8'
Iseppe M. J.
11'
11'
Rafinha
26'
26'
Murillo F.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Atletico-MG U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sport Recife U20
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Atletico-MG U20 come out ahead of Sport Recife U20 on wins alone.
- Sport Recife U20 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Atletico-MG U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Atletico-MG U20, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Atletico-MG U20 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Sport Recife U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico-MG U20 Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sport Recife U20 | Atletico-MG U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 17 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.8 | 2.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.80 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.60 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 18, 2025 Copa do Brasil U20
Sport Recife U20 vs Atletico-MG U20
1:2
Nov 12, 2025 Copa do Brasil U20
Atletico-MG U20 vs Sport Recife U20
1:1
Aug 7, 2021 Brasileiro U20
Atletico-MG U20 vs Sport Recife U20
1:0
Oct 10, 2020 Brasileiro U20
Sport Recife U20 vs Atletico-MG U20
0:1
Aug 3, 2019 Brasileiro U20
Sport Recife U20 vs Atletico-MG U20
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sport Recife U20 Compare
Top Goalscorer Rafinha
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9
Atletico-MG U20 Compare
Top Goalscorer Iseppe M. J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Murillo F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sport Recife U20 36 / 100
Atletico-MG U20 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sport Recife U20 Atletico-MG U20
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sport Recife U20's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Atletico-MG U20 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Sport Recife U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sport Recife U20 VS Atletico-MG U20
1.8 Goals Scored 2.63
1.6 Goals Conceded 0.88
60% Over 1.5 100%
40% Over 2.5 75%
40% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sport Recife U20
(Home) 17 Jun
CRB U20
1 : 0 Sport Recife U20
27 May
Sport Recife U20
5 : 2 Vila Nova FC U20
20 May
Botafogo SP U20
0 : 1 Sport Recife U20
12 May
Paysandu PA U20
2 : 0 Sport Recife U20
29 Apr
Sport Recife U20
3 : 3 Coritiba U20
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27 May
Sport Recife U20
5 : 2 Vila Nova FC U20
29 Apr
Sport Recife U20
3 : 3 Coritiba U20
22 Apr
Sport Recife U20
2 : 0 Operario PR U20
31 Mar
Sport Recife U20
1 : 2 Atletico GO U20
13 Jan
Sport Recife U20
1 : 2 America RN U20
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Atletico-MG U20
(Away) 19 Jul
Atletico-MG U20
0 : 0 Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
12 Jul
Social U20
1 : 0 Atletico-MG U20
01 Jul
Ceara U20
2 : 1 Atletico-MG U20
27 Jun
Coimbra Sports U20
0 : 1 Atletico-MG U20
17 Jun
Coritiba U20
0 : 1 Atletico-MG U20
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12 Jul
Social U20
1 : 0 Atletico-MG U20
01 Jul
Ceara U20
2 : 1 Atletico-MG U20
27 Jun
Coimbra Sports U20
0 : 1 Atletico-MG U20
17 Jun
Coritiba U20
0 : 1 Atletico-MG U20
01 Jun
Athletic Club U20
2 : 1 Atletico-MG U20
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Tocantinopolis U203
Rolim de Moura U200
Paysandu PA U204
Mazagao U201
America MG U201
Vila Nova FC U200
Vasco U203
Cuiaba U200
Fast Clube U201
Monte Roraima U202
IAPE U201
Santa Cruz AC U200
Coritiba U200
Novorizontino U201
Criciuma U201
Operario PR U202
CRB U201
America RN U200
Sport Recife U203
Sergipe U200
Atletico-MG U203
Real Brasilia U200
Flamengo RJ U204
Porto Vitoria U200
Gremio U201
EC Sao Jose (PA) U200
Sao Paulo U208
Operario AC U200
Fortaleza U205
Piaui U200
Bahia U207
Cruzeiro-PB U200
1/8-finals
Tocantinopolis U200
Paysandu PA U206
America MG U204
Vasco U203
Monte Roraima U202
IAPE U203
Novorizontino U204
Operario PR U202
CRB U201
Sport Recife U203
Atletico-MG U203
Flamengo RJ U202
Gremio U201
Sao Paulo U202
Fortaleza U204
Bahia U203
Quarter-finals
Paysandu PA U201
America MG U202
IAPE U202
Novorizontino U201
Sport Recife U202
Atletico-MG U203
Sao Paulo U202
Fortaleza U201
Semi-finals
America MG U206
IAPE U202
Atletico-MG U201
Sao Paulo U203
Final
America MG U201
Sao Paulo U202