Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sport Recife U20 vs Atletico-MG U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Brasil U20 2025
Sport Recife U20 Logo

Sport Recife U20

1 - 2
FT
Atletico-MG U20 Logo

Atletico-MG U20

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Iseppe M. J.
11' Event
Rafinha
26' Event
Murillo F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Atletico-MG U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Sport Recife U20
15%
Draws
42%
Atletico-MG U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sport Recife U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico-MG U20 come out ahead of Sport Recife U20 on wins alone.
  • Sport Recife U20 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Atletico-MG U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Atletico-MG U20, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Atletico-MG U20 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Sport Recife U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico-MG U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Recife U20 Atletico-MG U20
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 17 20
Draws 3 3
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2 2.48
Goals Conceded 0.9 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 Copa do Brasil U20
Sport Recife U20 vs Atletico-MG U20
1:2
Nov 12, 2025 Copa do Brasil U20
Atletico-MG U20 vs Sport Recife U20
1:1
Aug 7, 2021 Brasileiro U20
Atletico-MG U20 vs Sport Recife U20
1:0
Oct 10, 2020 Brasileiro U20
Sport Recife U20 vs Atletico-MG U20
0:1
Aug 3, 2019 Brasileiro U20
Sport Recife U20 vs Atletico-MG U20
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Recife U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafinha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Atletico-MG U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Iseppe M. J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Murillo F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Recife U20 77 / 100
Atletico-MG U20 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Recife U20 Atletico-MG U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport Recife U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Recife U20's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Atletico-MG U20 has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Sport Recife U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sport Recife U20 VS Atletico-MG U20
2.75 Goals Scored 2.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Recife U20

(Home)
30 Sept
Sport Recife U20
3 : 0
Academica Vitoria U20
19 Sept
Sport Recife U20
8 : 0
Guarany PE U20
13 Sept
America PE U20
1 : 2
Sport Recife U20
05 Sept
Sport Recife U20
0 : 1
Nautico U20
29 Aug
Petrolina U20
0 : 3
Sport Recife U20
Page 1 of 6

Atletico-MG U20

(Away)
02 Oct
Coimbra Sports U20
1 : 3
Atletico-MG U20
26 Sept
Atletico-MG U20
5 : 1
Coimbra Sports U20
19 Sept
Atletico-MG U20
4 : 2
Nacional de Muriae U20
13 Sept
America MG U20
4 : 1
Atletico-MG U20
08 Sept
Atletico-MG U20
4 : 0
Sobradinho U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Tocantinopolis U20 3
Rolim de Moura U20 0
Paysandu PA U20 4
Mazagao U20 1
America MG U20 1
Vila Nova FC U20 0
Vasco U20 3
Cuiaba U20 0
Fast Clube U20 1
Monte Roraima U20 2
IAPE U20 1
Santa Cruz AC U20 0
Coritiba U20 0
Novorizontino U20 1
Criciuma U20 1
Operario PR U20 2
CRB U20 1
America RN U20 0
Sport Recife U20 3
Sergipe U20 0
Atletico-MG U20 3
Real Brasilia U20 0
Flamengo RJ U20 4
Porto Vitoria U20 0
Gremio U20 1
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 0
Sao Paulo U20 8
Operario AC U20 0
Fortaleza U20 5
Piaui U20 0
Bahia U20 7
Cruzeiro-PB U20 0
1/8-finals
Tocantinopolis U20 0
Paysandu PA U20 6
America MG U20 4
Vasco U20 3
Monte Roraima U20 2
IAPE U20 3
Novorizontino U20 4
Operario PR U20 2
CRB U20 1
Sport Recife U20 3
Atletico-MG U20 3
Flamengo RJ U20 2
Gremio U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 2
Fortaleza U20 4
Bahia U20 3
Quarter-finals
Paysandu PA U20 1
America MG U20 2
IAPE U20 2
Novorizontino U20 1
Sport Recife U20 2
Atletico-MG U20 3
Sao Paulo U20 2
Fortaleza U20 1
Semi-finals
America MG U20 6
IAPE U20 2
Atletico-MG U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 3
Final
America MG U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 2