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Sport Recife U20 vs CA Porto U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano U20
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-5. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. CA Porto U20 have shipped 0.82 goals a game lately, while Sport Recife U20 have conceded 0.81 and scored 2.12. Past meetings favor Sport Recife U20 slightly — 2-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 10, 2026, ending 0:5. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.25) point toward Sport Recife U20. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Sport Recife U20
15%
Draws
42%
CA Porto U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sport Recife U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Sport Recife U20 have won more games recently than CA Porto U20.
  • Win probability leans Sport Recife U20's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Sport Recife U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sport Recife U20 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Sport Recife U20 Clean Sheet 19%
CA Porto U20 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Recife U20 CA Porto U20
Matches Played 42 28
Wins 27 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2.12 1.46
Goals Conceded 0.81 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Pernambucano U20
CA Porto U20 vs Sport Recife U20
0:5
Jul 6, 2024 Pernambucano U20
CA Porto U20 vs Sport Recife U20
1:1
Jun 17, 2023 Pernambucano U20
CA Porto U20 vs Sport Recife U20
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Recife U20 58 / 100
CA Porto U20 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Recife U20 CA Porto U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport Recife U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Recife U20's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 42 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Sport Recife U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: CA Porto U20 conceded in 50% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sport Recife U20 VS CA Porto U20
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Recife U20

(Home)
30 Sept
Sport Recife U20
3 : 0
Academica Vitoria U20
19 Sept
Sport Recife U20
8 : 0
Guarany PE U20
13 Sept
America PE U20
1 : 2
Sport Recife U20
05 Sept
Sport Recife U20
0 : 1
Nautico U20
29 Aug
Petrolina U20
0 : 3
Sport Recife U20
Page 1 of 9

CA Porto U20

(Away)
26 Sept
1º de Maio U20
0 : 1
CA Porto U20
19 Sept
CA Porto U20
4 : 0
Atletico PE U20
16 Sept
Ipojuca U20
2 : 1
CA Porto U20
05 Sept
CA Porto U20
3 : 0
Ibis Sport Club U20
02 Sept
Atletico Torres U20
0 : 6
CA Porto U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Santa Cruz U20 -
Petrolina U20 -
Retro U20 -
America PE U20 -
Sport Recife U20 -
CA Porto U20 -
Nautico U20 -
Ipojuca U20 -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -