Sport Picks
Sport Recife vs America MG - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie B Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, Recife 
Match Events
13'
13'
Claudinho
Assist: Juan Alano
45'
45'
Clayson
Assist: Juan Alano
56'
56'
Kayky Almeida
AI Match Summary
The Serie B game between Sport Recife and America MG finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sport Recife.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sport Recife
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- America MG haven't matched Sport Recife's recent run of results.
- Model gives Sport Recife a 85% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Sport Recife Clean Sheet 68%
America MG Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sport Recife | America MG |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 24, 2026 Serie B
Sport Recife vs America MG
3:0
Apr 18, 2026 Serie B
America MG vs Sport Recife
0:0
Oct 29, 2024 Serie B
America MG vs Sport Recife
2:1
Jul 13, 2024 Serie B
Sport Recife vs America MG
1:1
Nov 11, 2021 Serie A Betano
Sport Recife vs America MG
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sport Recife Compare
Top Goalscorer Claudinho
1 Goals Assists Leader Clayson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
America MG Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sport Recife 86 / 100
America MG 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sport Recife America MG
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sport Recife Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sport Recife found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).
America MG's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.
America MG lost 5 of their last 5 games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Sport Recife VS America MG
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sport Recife
(Home) 11 Oct
Atletico GO
1 : 1 Sport Recife
06 Oct
Sport Recife
2 : 1 Sao Bernardo
01 Oct
Athletic Club
1 : 2 Sport Recife
26 Sept
Nautico
3 : 1 Sport Recife
19 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 1 EC Juventude
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Sport Recife
2 : 1 Sao Bernardo
19 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 1 EC Juventude
11 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
24 Aug
Sport Recife
3 : 0 America MG
14 Aug
Sport Recife
2 : 1 Londrina
Page 1 of 3
America MG
(Away) 07 Oct
America MG
0 : 1 Fortaleza
03 Oct
Atletico GO
2 : 0 America MG
28 Sept
America MG
0 : 1 EC Juventude
18 Sept
Vila Nova FC
1 : 0 America MG
14 Sept
America MG
0 : 2 Sao Bernardo
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Atletico GO
2 : 0 America MG
18 Sept
Vila Nova FC
1 : 0 America MG
05 Sept
CRB
3 : 1 America MG
24 Aug
Sport Recife
3 : 0 America MG
20 Aug
Novorizontino
3 : 0 America MG
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EC Juventude | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 37:19 | 59 |
| 2 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 44:31 | 58 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 54:27 | 57 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 37:27 | 56 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 33:28 | 53 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 40:30 | 52 |
| 7 | CRB | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 49:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44:34 | 50 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 32:25 | 47 |
| 11 | Goias | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:34 | 45 |
| 13 | Nautico | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39:40 | 42 |
| 14 | Ceara | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:39 | 42 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 36:38 | 38 |
| 17 | Avai | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 32:43 | 33 |
| 18 | Londrina | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 40:47 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 21:53 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17:68 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
