Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sport Recife vs Fortaleza

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Nordeste Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Pedro Perotti
37' Event
Miritello J. B.
45'
Miritello J. B.

AI Match Summary

The Copa do Nordeste game between Sport Recife and Fortaleza finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fortaleza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Sport Recife
33%
Draws
40%
Fortaleza
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Fortaleza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fortaleza come out ahead of Sport Recife on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Fortaleza taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa do Nordeste fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Fortaleza have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Sport Recife Clean Sheet 21%
Fortaleza Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Recife Fortaleza
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 14 20
Draws 10 7
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Serie B
Fortaleza vs Sport Recife
2:1
May 28, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Sport Recife vs Fortaleza
0:2
May 21, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Fortaleza vs Sport Recife
1:2
Apr 30, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Fortaleza vs Sport Recife
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 Serie A Betano
Fortaleza vs Sport Recife
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Recife Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Fortaleza Compare

Top Goalscorer Miritello J. B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Recife 29 / 100
Fortaleza 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Recife Fortaleza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Recife's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sport Recife stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Fortaleza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 51% of 35 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sport Recife VS Fortaleza
1 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Vitoria1
Ceara0
ABC4
Juazeirense0
Confianca1
Fortaleza2
Sport Recife1
ASA0
Semi-finals
Vitoria10
ABC5
Fortaleza3
Sport Recife2
Final
Vitoria4
Fortaleza2