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Sport Recife vs Jacuipense

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Nordeste Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Vinicius Amaral
24'
Marcelo Ajul
26'
Hugo Moura

AI Match Summary

The Copa do Nordeste game between Sport Recife and Jacuipense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sport Recife.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sport Recife
30%
Draws
34%
Jacuipense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sport Recife

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Jacuipense haven't matched Sport Recife's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sport Recife's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 21.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sport Recife Clean Sheet 20%
Jacuipense Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Recife Jacuipense
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Sport Recife vs Jacuipense
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Recife Compare

Top Goalscorer de Pena C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Biel Fonesca
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Jacuipense Compare

Top Goalscorer Adriano
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Recife 36 / 100
Jacuipense 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Recife Jacuipense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sport Recife scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Jacuipense let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sport Recife has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sport Recife VS Jacuipense
1 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.57
75% Over 1.5 71%
25% Over 2.5 43%
0% Over 3.5 43%