Sport Picks
Sport Recife vs Ponte Preta Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Serie B Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, Recife 
Match Events
12'
12'
Sub
Juan Alano In: de Pena C.
Out: Juan Alano
24'
24'
Souza M.
25'
25'
Diego M. L.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
Sport Recife in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sport Recife.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sport Recife
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ponte Preta haven't matched Sport Recife's recent run of results.
- Model gives Sport Recife a 57% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Sport Recife here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Sport Recife Clean Sheet 68%
Ponte Preta Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sport Recife | Ponte Preta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 28 |
| Wins | 18 | 3 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 0.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 2.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Ponte Preta
2:0
May 9, 2026 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Sport Recife
1:3
Nov 17, 2024 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Sport Recife
0:4
Jul 27, 2024 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Ponte Preta
3:1
Oct 9, 2023 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Ponte Preta
3:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sport Recife 95 / 100
Ponte Preta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sport Recife Ponte Preta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sport Recife Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sport Recife found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (35 games).
Ponte Preta has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Ponte Preta's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Sport Recife VS Ponte Preta
1.63 Goals Scored 0.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sport Recife
(Home) 26 Sept
Nautico
3 : 1 Sport Recife
19 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 1 EC Juventude
16 Sept
CRB
2 : 1 Sport Recife
11 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
05 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1 Sport Recife
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 1 EC Juventude
11 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
24 Aug
Sport Recife
3 : 0 America MG
14 Aug
Sport Recife
2 : 1 Londrina
27 Jul
Sport Recife
1 : 1 Cuiaba
Page 1 of 4
Ponte Preta
(Away) 29 Sept
Botafogo SP
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
20 Sept
Ponte Preta
1 : 0 CRB
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0 Ponte Preta
11 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
06 Sept
Ponte Preta
0 : 2 Sao Bernardo
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Botafogo SP
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0 Ponte Preta
11 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
30 Aug
America MG
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
19 Aug
Vila Nova FC
6 : 0 Ponte Preta
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 43:31 | 54 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 32:19 | 53 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 35:26 | 52 |
| 4 | Novorizontino | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:27 | 51 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 31:27 | 50 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 37:27 | 49 |
| 7 | CRB | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:41 | 48 |
| 8 | Operario-PR | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 43:38 | 48 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 40:32 | 44 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 30:25 | 43 |
| 11 | Goias | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 30:36 | 42 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 40:31 | 42 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 14 | Nautico | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:37 | 41 |
| 15 | Ceara | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33:39 | 36 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34:36 | 35 |
| 17 | Avai | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 30:41 | 30 |
| 18 | Londrina | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 39:43 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 21:50 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 30 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 17:64 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
