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Sport Sal-Rei vs Sanjoanenses

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
da Luz D.

AI Match Summary

Sanjoanenses in this Campeonato Nacional 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sanjoanenses.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sport Sal-Rei
44%
Draws
20%
Sanjoanenses
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Sanjoanenses have won more games recently than Sport Sal-Rei.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Sport Sal-Rei Clean Sheet 20%
Sanjoanenses Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Sal-Rei Sanjoanenses
Matches Played 27 20
Wins 2 4
Draws 5 8
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 0.83 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.17 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2025 Campeonato Nacional
Sport Sal-Rei vs Sanjoanenses
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Sal-Rei Compare

Avg xG / game 0.64
Avg xA / game 0.41

Sanjoanenses Compare

Top Goalscorer da Luz D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Sal-Rei 36 / 100
Sanjoanenses 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Sal-Rei Sanjoanenses

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Sal-Rei scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Sanjoanenses's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 20 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Sport Sal-Rei has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sport Sal-Rei VS Sanjoanenses
0.83 Goals Scored 0.63
1.17 Goals Conceded 1.25
67% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Sal-Rei

(Home)
24 May
Sport Sal-Rei
2 : 0
Scorpion Vermelho
18 May
Paulense
2 : 2
Sport Sal-Rei
10 May
Sport Sal-Rei
0 : 1
Sanjoanenses
04 May
Boavista da Praia
2 : 0
Sport Sal-Rei
26 Apr
Sport Sal-Rei
1 : 2
Academica Praia
Page 1 of 6

Sanjoanenses

(Away)
14 Jun
Palmeira
1 : 0
Sanjoanenses
08 Jun
Sanjoanenses
0 : 0
Palmeira
24 May
Ultramarina
0 : 0
Sanjoanenses
18 May
Sanjoanenses
0 : 0
Botafogo
10 May
Sport Sal-Rei
0 : 1
Sanjoanenses
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boavista da Praia641112:313
2Palmeira63309:412
3Sanjoanenses63306:212
4Paulense63219:511
5Mindelense624012:810
6Academica Praia62226:88
7Sport Sal-Rei61235:75
8Ultramarina61233:95
9Scorpion Vermelho60245:142
10Botafogo60151:81
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2025 (Play Offs)