Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sport Sinop vs Chapada

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Ricardo Liell
61'
Benne
87' Event
Douglas da Silveira P.

AI Match Summary

Sport Sinop in this Matogrossense matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sport Sinop.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sport Sinop
30%
Draws
23%
Chapada
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sport Sinop

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Chapada haven't matched Sport Sinop's recent run of results.
  • Sport Sinop are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Sport Sinop Clean Sheet 68%
Chapada Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Sinop Chapada
Matches Played 30 18
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 0.8 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Matogrossense
Sport Sinop vs Chapada
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Sinop Compare

Top Goalscorer Ricardo Liell
1 Goals
Assists Leader Douglas da Silveira P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Chapada Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Sinop 77 / 100
Chapada 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Sinop Chapada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport Sinop Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chapada conceded in 67% of 18 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Sport Sinop remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Chapada has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sport Sinop VS Chapada
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
25% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Sinop

(Home)
22 Feb
Luverdense
2 : 2
Sport Sinop
15 Feb
Sport Sinop
0 : 1
Luverdense
12 Feb
Sport Sinop
1 : 0
Cuiaba
08 Feb
Sport Sinop
2 : 0
Chapada
05 Feb
Mixto
0 : 0
Sport Sinop
Page 1 of 6

Chapada

(Away)
16 Sept
Chapada
1 : 1
Uirapuru
08 Feb
Sport Sinop
2 : 0
Chapada
04 Feb
Chapada
3 : 2
Uniao Rondonopolis
31 Jan
Luverdense
1 : 0
Chapada
28 Jan
Nova Mutum EC
3 : 2
Chapada
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luverdense 9 5 2 2 7:3 17
2 Mixto 9 4 3 2 13:4 15
3 Operario VG 9 4 2 3 9:9 14
4 Sport Sinop 9 3 4 2 6:4 13
5 Cuiaba 9 3 3 3 8:8 12
6 Nova Mutum EC 9 3 3 3 13:15 12
7 Chapada 9 3 2 4 12:13 11
8 Uniao Rondonopolis 9 2 4 3 7:7 10
9 Primavera AC 9 1 7 1 6:9 10
10 Várzea Grande EC 9 1 2 6 5:14 5
Promotion - Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Matogrossense 2 2027 (Main)