Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sport Sinop vs Luverdense

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense Estadio Massami Uriu (Gigante), Sinop
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Henan

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Sport Sinop
35%
Draws
28%
Luverdense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sport Sinop

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Luverdense lately — more wins on the board than Sport Sinop.
  • Model gives Sport Sinop a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Luverdense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Luverdense, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Luverdense here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Sport Sinop Clean Sheet 68%
Luverdense Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Sinop Luverdense
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 9 14
Draws 8 11
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.8 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Matogrossense
Luverdense vs Sport Sinop
2:2
Feb 15, 2026 Matogrossense
Sport Sinop vs Luverdense
0:1
Jan 28, 2026 Matogrossense
Sport Sinop vs Luverdense
0:1
Jan 15, 2025 Matogrossense
Sport Sinop vs Luverdense
1:2
Feb 4, 2023 Matogrossense
Sport Sinop vs Luverdense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Sinop Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Luverdense Compare

Top Goalscorer Henan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Sinop 68 / 100
Luverdense 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Sinop Luverdense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport Sinop Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sport Sinop has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Sport Sinop scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Luverdense conceded in 48% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sport Sinop VS Luverdense
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Sinop

(Home)
22 Feb
Luverdense
2 : 2
Sport Sinop
15 Feb
Sport Sinop
0 : 1
Luverdense
12 Feb
Sport Sinop
1 : 0
Cuiaba
08 Feb
Sport Sinop
2 : 0
Chapada
05 Feb
Mixto
0 : 0
Sport Sinop
Page 1 of 6

Luverdense

(Away)
26 Jul
ABC
4 : 1
Luverdense
18 Jul
Luverdense
0 : 0
ABC
12 Jul
Guapore
0 : 0
Luverdense
04 Jul
Luverdense
1 : 0
Guapore
28 Jun
Luverdense
1 : 1
Ceilandia
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Luverdense -
TBD -
Sport Sinop 1
Cuiaba 0
Mixto -
TBD -
Operario VG 3
Nova Mutum EC 2
Semi-finals
Luverdense 3
Sport Sinop 2
Mixto 3
Operario VG 2
Final
Luverdense 0
Mixto 1