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Sport Sinop vs Operario VG Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Neto S.

AI Match Summary

The Matogrossense game between Sport Sinop and Operario VG finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Operario VG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sport Sinop
30%
Draws
23%
Operario VG
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sport Sinop

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sport Sinop come out ahead of Operario VG on wins alone.
  • Sport Sinop are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Matogrossense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Operario VG have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 57.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Sport Sinop Clean Sheet 68%
Operario VG Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Sinop Operario VG
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 0.8 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Matogrossense
Sport Sinop vs Operario VG
0:1
Jan 20, 2025 Matogrossense
Operario VG vs Sport Sinop
4:0
Mar 4, 2023 Matogrossense
Sport Sinop vs Operario VG
1:6
Feb 12, 2022 Matogrossense
Sport Sinop vs Operario VG
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Sinop Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Operario VG Compare

Top Goalscorer Neto S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Sinop 95 / 100
Operario VG 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Sinop Operario VG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport Sinop Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Operario VG's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Sport Sinop has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Operario VG's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sport Sinop VS Operario VG
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.6 Goals Conceded 1.5
40% Over 1.5 75%
20% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Sinop

(Home)
22 Feb
Luverdense
2 : 2
Sport Sinop
15 Feb
Sport Sinop
0 : 1
Luverdense
12 Feb
Sport Sinop
1 : 0
Cuiaba
08 Feb
Sport Sinop
2 : 0
Chapada
05 Feb
Mixto
0 : 0
Sport Sinop
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Operario VG

(Away)
07 Jun
Goiatuba EC
1 : 0
Operario VG
30 May
Operario VG
1 : 5
Capital
23 May
Mixto
1 : 1
Operario VG
16 May
Operario VG
1 : 2
Uniao Rondonopolis
09 May
Ceilandia
0 : 1
Operario VG
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luverdense 9 5 2 2 7:3 17
2 Mixto 9 4 3 2 13:4 15
3 Operario VG 9 4 2 3 9:9 14
4 Sport Sinop 9 3 4 2 6:4 13
5 Cuiaba 9 3 3 3 8:8 12
6 Nova Mutum EC 9 3 3 3 13:15 12
7 Chapada 9 3 2 4 12:13 11
8 Uniao Rondonopolis 9 2 4 3 7:7 10
9 Primavera AC 9 1 7 1 6:9 10
10 Várzea Grande EC 9 1 2 6 5:14 5
Promotion - Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Matogrossense 2 2027 (Main)