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Sport Victoria vs Tarapoto

Peru Peru

Segunda Division 2016
Fri, Nov 18, 2016
3 - 0
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sport Victoria play Tarapoto in the Segunda Division 2016. Sport Victoria are favorites here. Recently, Sport Victoria averaged 0.84 goals scored and 2.38 conceded. Tarapoto averaged 0.27 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. In past meetings, Sport Victoria won 2, Tarapoto won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 18, 2016 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Sport Victoria and 1.56 for Tarapoto. This points to a Sport Victoria double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Sport Victoria
15%
Draws
23%
Tarapoto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sport Victoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Sport Victoria picked up more points recently compared to Tarapoto.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 19%
Sport Victoria Clean Sheet 15%
Tarapoto Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Victoria Tarapoto
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 3
Draws 2 2
Losses 24 25
Goals Scored 0.84 0.27
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2016 Liga 2
Sport Victoria vs Tarapoto
3:0
Aug 7, 2016 Liga 2
Tarapoto vs Sport Victoria
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Victoria 59 / 100
Tarapoto 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Victoria Tarapoto

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport Victoria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Sport Victoria & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8%
1.35
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sport Victoria attacking → ← attacking Tarapoto

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Victoria scored in 31% of their last 32 games.

Tarapoto let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sport Victoria went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Tarapoto lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 11
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1AD Cantolao30158745:3153
2Sport Ancash30165953:4453
3Cienciano30157848:2652
4Carlos Mannucci301311647:3150
5Deportivo Coopsol30148839:2650
6Los Chankas301371042:4046
7Alianza Huanuco30129935:2445
8Alfredo Salinas301341357:3643
9Los Caimanes301261239:3742
10Sport Loreto30991239:4136
11Sport Victoria301061439:5336
12Union Huaral30891338:5033
13Willy Serrato30991236:5332
14Sport Boys301271141:3231
15Atletico Torino308101231:4128
16Tarapoto3031268:7210