Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein

Bergisch Gladbach

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sportfreunde Duren play Bergisch Gladbach in the Oberliga Mittelrhein. Bergisch Gladbach are favorites here. Recently, Sportfreunde Duren averaged 0.75 goals scored and 4.13 conceded. Bergisch Gladbach averaged 3.38 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Sportfreunde Duren won 0, Bergisch Gladbach won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 25, 2026 ended 7:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Sportfreunde Duren and 3.75 for Bergisch Gladbach. This points to a Bergisch Gladbach double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Sportfreunde Duren

Draws

90%

Bergisch Gladbach

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bergisch Gladbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Bergisch Gladbach has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sportfreunde Duren.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Bergisch Gladbach.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Oberliga Mittelrhein provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 85%

Over 3.5 Goals 75%

Over 4.5 Goals 34%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Sportfreunde Duren Clean Sheet 10%

Bergisch Gladbach Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sportfreunde Duren	Bergisch Gladbach
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	4	20
Draws	2	6
Losses	24	3
Goals Scored	0.75	3.38
Goals Conceded	4.13	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	3.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	4.13	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein

Bergisch Gladbach vs Sportfreunde Duren

Possession: 49% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

7:1

Nov 30, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein

Sportfreunde Duren vs Bergisch Gladbach

Possession: 58% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportfreunde Duren 10 / 100

Bergisch Gladbach 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sportfreunde Duren Bergisch Gladbach

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BER Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportfreunde Duren scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Bergisch Gladbach let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 6.50 goals.

Sportfreunde Duren went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Bergisch Gladbach lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sportfreunde Duren VS Bergisch Gladbach

0.75 Goals Scored 3.38

4.13 Goals Conceded 1.38

100% Over 1.5 88%

88% Over 2.5 88%

75% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bergisch Gladbach	30	20	7	3	85:28	67
2	Eintracht Hohkeppel	30	20	4	6	86:36	64
3	Siegburger	30	19	5	6	75:34	62
4	Merten	30	18	6	6	80:28	60
5	VfL Vichttal	30	18	5	7	80:43	59
6	FC Wegberg-Beeck	30	15	6	9	62:35	51
7	Frechen	30	16	2	12	66:54	50
8	Bornheim	30	14	4	12	65:56	46
9	Konigsdorf	30	14	4	12	53:54	46
10	Fortuna Koln II	30	13	6	11	62:47	45
11	1. FC Duren	30	11	5	14	49:59	38
12	Hennef	30	11	2	17	45:66	35
13	SpVg Porz 1919	30	7	4	19	58:99	25
14	Teutonia Weiden	30	4	4	22	25:104	16
15	Sportfreunde Duren	30	4	2	24	41:103	14
16	Pesch	30	2	2	26	26:112	8