Sport Picks
Sporting Ben Arous vs EM Mahdia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tunisia
Ligue 2 
Match Events
29'
29'
Chaouech B.
74'
74'
Zitouni C.
76'
76'
Zitouni C.
AI Match Summary
EM Mahdia in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored EM Mahdia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EM Mahdia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to EM Mahdia lately — more wins on the board than Sporting Ben Arous.
- 37% — that's where the model lands on Sporting Ben Arous taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Sporting Ben Arous Clean Sheet 68%
EM Mahdia Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting Ben Arous | EM Mahdia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Ligue 2
Sporting Ben Arous vs EM Mahdia
1:2
Feb 1, 2026 Ligue 2
EM Mahdia vs Sporting Ben Arous
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Ligue 2
Sporting Ben Arous vs EM Mahdia
2:2
May 20, 2023 Ligue 2
Sporting Ben Arous vs EM Mahdia
2:0
Jan 4, 2023 Ligue 2
EM Mahdia vs Sporting Ben Arous
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sporting Ben Arous Compare
Top Goalscorer Zitouni C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
EM Mahdia Compare
Top Goalscorer Chaouech B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting Ben Arous 77 / 100
EM Mahdia 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting Ben Arous EM Mahdia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sporting Ben Arous Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sporting Ben Arous's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
EM Mahdia has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Solid form: Sporting Ben Arous remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sporting Ben Arous VS EM Mahdia
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting Ben Arous
(Home) 03 Oct
AS Agareb
0 : 3 Sporting Ben Arous
26 Sept
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 2 EM Mahdia
11 May
Sporting Ben Arous
6 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
01 May
US Tataouine
1 : 0 Sporting Ben Arous
27 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 1 Megrine
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 2 EM Mahdia
11 May
Sporting Ben Arous
6 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
27 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 1 Megrine
13 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
0 : 1 AS Agareb
28 Mar
Sporting Ben Arous
0 : 1 Msaken
Page 1 of 3
EM Mahdia
(Away) 03 Oct
EM Mahdia
2 : 1 Kerkennah
26 Sept
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 2 EM Mahdia
10 Sept
EM Mahdia
3 : 0 Ksour Essef
11 May
EM Mahdia
1 : 3 Kerkennah
01 May
Menzel Bourguiba
1 : 0 EM Mahdia
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 2 EM Mahdia
01 May
Menzel Bourguiba
1 : 0 EM Mahdia
18 Apr
Megrine
0 : 0 EM Mahdia
05 Apr
AS Agareb
0 : 0 EM Mahdia
23 Mar
Ajim Djerba
2 : 0 EM Mahdia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EM Mahdia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Soliman | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 4 |
| 3 | Megrine | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Msaken | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 5 | Sfax Railways | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 6 | BS Bouhajla | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 7 | Sporting Ben Arous | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 8 | US Tataouine | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 9 | ES Beni-Khalled | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 10 | Stade Soussien | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 11 | AS Gabes | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 12 | Chebba | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 13 | AS Agareb | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 14 | Kerkennah | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 0 |
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redeyef | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Kasserine | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 3 | JS Kairouan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 6 |
| 4 | Ksour Essef | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 5 | Korba | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 6 | Kalaa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 7 | Jendouba Sport | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 8 | Bouchamma | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 3 |
| 9 | Stade Gabesien | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 10 | Ariana | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 11 | Olympique Kef | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | 1 |
| 12 | Moknine | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | 1 |
| 13 | CO Medenine | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 14 | Gafsa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
