Sport Picks
Sporting Ben Arous vs Megrine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tunisia
Ligue 2 2025/2026 
Match Events
5'
5'
Zghada M.
90'
90'
Chafai M.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Sporting Ben Arous and Megrine finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Megrine haven't matched Sporting Ben Arous's recent run of results.
- 33% — that's where the model lands on Sporting Ben Arous taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Sporting Ben Arous Clean Sheet 68%
Megrine Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting Ben Arous | Megrine |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 27, 2026 Ligue 2
Sporting Ben Arous vs Megrine
1:1
Dec 1, 2025 Ligue 2
Megrine vs Sporting Ben Arous
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sporting Ben Arous Compare
Top Goalscorer Zghada M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Megrine Compare
Top Goalscorer Chafai M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting Ben Arous 86 / 100
Megrine 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting Ben Arous Megrine
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sporting Ben Arous Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sporting Ben Arous found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Megrine conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Sporting Ben Arous stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sporting Ben Arous VS Megrine
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting Ben Arous
(Home) 03 Oct
AS Agareb
0 : 3 Sporting Ben Arous
26 Sept
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 2 EM Mahdia
11 May
Sporting Ben Arous
6 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
01 May
US Tataouine
1 : 0 Sporting Ben Arous
27 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 1 Megrine
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 2 EM Mahdia
11 May
Sporting Ben Arous
6 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
27 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 1 Megrine
13 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
0 : 1 AS Agareb
28 Mar
Sporting Ben Arous
0 : 1 Msaken
Page 1 of 3
Megrine
(Away) 03 Oct
Megrine
1 : 1 ES Beni-Khalled
26 Sept
AS Gabes
1 : 2 Megrine
11 May
Bousalem
2 : 2 Megrine
01 May
Megrine
1 : 1 BS Bouhajla
27 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 1 Megrine
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
AS Gabes
1 : 2 Megrine
11 May
Bousalem
2 : 2 Megrine
27 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 1 Megrine
13 Apr
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0 Megrine
29 Mar
Menzel Bourguiba
0 : 1 Megrine
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
