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Sporting Bertrange vs FC Marisca Mersch - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup
Sporting Bertrange Logo

Sporting Bertrange

3 - 2
FT
FC Marisca Mersch Logo

FC Marisca Mersch

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sporting Bertrange
20%
Draws
50%
FC Marisca Mersch
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Marisca Mersch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sporting Bertrange come out ahead of FC Marisca Mersch on wins alone.
  • FC Marisca Mersch are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Sporting Bertrange have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sporting Bertrange, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Sporting Bertrange Clean Sheet 10%
FC Marisca Mersch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Bertrange FC Marisca Mersch
Matches Played 18 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 0 4
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 2.39 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.67 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Luxembourg Cup
Sporting Bertrange vs FC Marisca Mersch
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Bertrange 22 / 100
FC Marisca Mersch 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Bertrange FC Marisca Mersch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Marisca Mersch Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Bertrange found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (18 games).

Defensive concern: FC Marisca Mersch conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Sporting Bertrange stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Bertrange VS FC Marisca Mersch
2 Goals Scored 1.38
4.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Bertrange

(Home)
20 Sept
Sporting Bertrange
3 : 2
FC Marisca Mersch
06 Oct
Sporting Bertrange
1 : 7
Jeunesse Esch
02 Oct
Sporting Bertrange
1 : 8
UNA Strassen
03 Oct
Sporting Bertrange
1 : 3
Racing Luxembourg
09 Dec
Sporting Bertrange
1 : 3
Mertert/Wasserbillig
Page 1 of 4

FC Marisca Mersch

(Away)
20 Sept
Sporting Bertrange
3 : 2
FC Marisca Mersch
26 Jul
Victoria Rosport
1 : 1
FC Marisca Mersch
18 Jul
FC Marisca Mersch
2 : 2
Ettelbruck
09 Nov
Wiltz
6 : 0
FC Marisca Mersch
21 Sept
ALSS Luxembourg
2 : 4
FC Marisca Mersch
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
US Folschette 1
Mondercange 4
Diekirch 1
Dudelange 3
Pratzerthal/Redange 1
Rumelange 9
AS Hosingen 0
Racing Luxembourg 6
Echternach 2
Hesperange 1
Grevenmacher 3
FC Residence Walferdange 2
US Moutfort/Medingen 1
The Belval Belvaux 4
FC Schengen 0
Ettelbruck 1
CS Sanem 1
Victoria Rosport 3
Syra Mensdorf 1
Kaerjeng 9
Sporting Bertrange 3
FC Marisca Mersch 2
Alisontia Steinsel 1
Hostert 2
Red Star Merl/Belair 0
FC Mamer 4
Kischpelt WIlwerwiltz 1
Mondorf 10
FC Koerich/Simmern 0
Luxembourg City 1
SC Ell 1
Jeunesse Canach 4
Alliance Aischdall 0
Berdenia Berbourg 7
FC 47 Bastendorf 0
Jeunesse Esch 1
FC Kopstal 33 0
Progres Niedercorn 7
US Sandweiler 2
Wiltz 6
Lintgen 3
Fola 0
Jeunesse Junglinster 1
Bettembourg 2
Les Aiglons Dalheim 0
Union Titus Petange 8
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 1
Union Remich/Bous 4
Les Ardoisiers Perle 0
Avenir Beggen 7
Esch 0
UNA Strassen 8
Erpeldange 3
Lorentzweiler 4
US Boevange/Attert 1
US Feulen 3
ALSS Luxembourg 1
Bissen 3
Jeunesse Useldange 1
Differdange 5
Jeunesse Schieren 0
FC Rodange 91 1
Jeunesse Biwer 1
Koeppchen 3
1/16-finals
Mondercange -
Dudelange -
Rumelange -
Racing Luxembourg -
Echternach -
Grevenmacher -
The Belval Belvaux -
Ettelbruck -
Victoria Rosport -
Kaerjeng -
Sporting Bertrange -
Hostert -
FC Mamer -
Mondorf -
Luxembourg City -
Jeunesse Canach -
Berdenia Berbourg -
Jeunesse Esch -
Progres Niedercorn -
Wiltz -
Lintgen -
Bettembourg -
Union Titus Petange -
Union Remich/Bous -
Avenir Beggen -
UNA Strassen -
Lorentzweiler -
US Feulen -
Bissen -
Differdange -
FC Rodange 91 -
Koeppchen -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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