Sport Picks

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Sporting CP B vs Chaves

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira, Alcochete
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sporting CP B host Chaves in the Liga Portugal 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Chaves have shipped 1.41 goals a game lately, while Sporting CP B have conceded 1.2 and scored 1.03. Head-to-head, Sporting CP B have won 1 to Chaves's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 13, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.71 vs 1.16, favoring Chaves. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sporting CP B
20%
Draws
30%
Chaves
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sporting CP B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Sporting CP B haven't matched Chaves's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sporting CP B's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Liga Portugal 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Sporting CP B Clean Sheet 20%
Chaves Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting CP B Chaves
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 12
Draws 3 2
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.03 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 1.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Sporting CP B vs Chaves
0:1
Nov 23, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Chaves vs Sporting CP B
0:0
Apr 6, 2016 Liga Portugal 2
Sporting CP B vs Chaves
2:0
Nov 25, 2015 Liga Portugal 2
Chaves vs Sporting CP B
1:0
Feb 25, 2015 Liga Portugal 2
Sporting CP B vs Chaves
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting CP B 67 / 100
Chaves 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting CP B Chaves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chaves let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Sporting CP B has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Chaves lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Sporting CP B's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting CP B VS Chaves
0.29 Goals Scored 1.75
0.57 Goals Conceded 1.13
14% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting CP B

(Home)
09 Aug
AFS
0 : 1
Sporting CP B
01 Aug
Alverca
1 : 0
Sporting CP B
18 Jul
SC Farense
1 : 1
Sporting CP B
16 May
Academico Viseu
0 : 0
Sporting CP B
09 May
Sporting CP B
0 : 1
FC Porto B
Page 1 of 6

Chaves

(Away)
08 Aug
Chaves
1 : 4
Academica
02 Aug
Academico Viseu
1 : 0
Chaves
01 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes
2 : 0
Chaves
25 Jul
Chaves
2 : 3
Vitoria Guimaraes B
22 Jul
Chaves
2 : 1
Amarante FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academica 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Lusitania FC 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Tondela 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 SC Farense 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Portimonense 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Vizela 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Sporting CP B 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Benfica B 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
9 Feirense 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 FC Felgueiras 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 Torreense 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Amarante FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Leixoes 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Penafiel 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Leiria 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
16 AFS 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
17 FC Porto B 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
18 Chaves 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027/2028 (Main)