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Sporting CP B vs Chaves - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira, Alcochete
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Match Events

42'
Martins V.
42'
Pereira F.
45'
Rodrigues A.

AI Match Summary

Sporting CP B in this Liga Portugal 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting CP B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sporting CP B
15%
Draws
34%
Chaves
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting CP B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sporting CP B haven't matched Chaves's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sporting CP B's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Liga Portugal 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Sporting CP B Clean Sheet 68%
Chaves Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting CP B Chaves
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 2 1
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.1 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Sporting CP B vs Chaves
1:0
Mar 13, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Sporting CP B vs Chaves
0:1
Nov 23, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Chaves vs Sporting CP B
0:0
Apr 6, 2016 Liga Portugal 2
Sporting CP B vs Chaves
2:0
Nov 25, 2015 Liga Portugal 2
Chaves vs Sporting CP B
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting CP B Compare

Top Goalscorer Atanasio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Chaves Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting CP B 86 / 100
Chaves 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting CP B Chaves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting CP B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting CP B scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Chaves has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Sporting CP B went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Chaves's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sporting CP B VS Chaves
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting CP B

(Home)
30 Sept
Nottingham U21
2 : 4
Sporting CP B
14 Sept
Sporting CP B
1 : 2
Lusitania FC
05 Sept
Feirense
1 : 3
Sporting CP B
30 Aug
Sporting CP B
2 : 1
SC Farense
23 Aug
Penafiel
2 : 0
Sporting CP B
Page 1 of 6

Chaves

(Away)
04 Oct
SC Farense
4 : 0
Chaves
25 Sept
Chaves
0 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes
20 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 3
Chaves
13 Sept
Chaves
1 : 0
Feirense
30 Aug
FC Felgueiras
2 : 1
Chaves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusitania FC 6 5 1 0 11:4 16
2 Penafiel 6 4 1 1 13:5 13
3 Sporting CP B 6 4 0 2 8:6 12
4 SC Farense 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
5 Vizela 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
6 Benfica B 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
7 Leiria 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
8 Leixoes 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
9 Academica 6 3 0 3 8:10 9
10 Tondela 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
11 Portimonense 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
12 AFS 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
13 FC Felgueiras 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
14 Torreense 6 1 3 2 7:9 6
15 Amarante FC 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
16 Chaves 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
17 FC Porto B 6 1 1 4 4:13 4
18 Feirense 6 0 1 5 1:8 1
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027/2028 (Main)