Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting CP U19 vs Leiria U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Faisca J.
Own Goal
72' Event
Almeida M.
77' Event
Siza S.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 game between Sporting CP U19 and Leiria U19 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting CP U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Sporting CP U19
30%
Draws
9%
Leiria U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sporting CP U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Leiria U19 haven't matched Sporting CP U19's recent run of results.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Sporting CP U19 taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Sporting CP U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Leiria U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting CP U19 Leiria U19
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.65 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Sporting CP U19
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Sporting CP U19
1:1
Feb 17, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Sporting CP U19 vs Leiria U19
3:0
Oct 19, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Sporting CP U19
1:1
Aug 9, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Sporting CP U19 vs Leiria U19
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting CP U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Almeida M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Siza S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Leiria U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting CP U19 95 / 100
Leiria U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting CP U19 Leiria U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting CP U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting CP U19 scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Leiria U19 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Sporting CP U19 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sporting CP U19 VS Leiria U19
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting CP U19

(Home)
19 Sept
SC Farense U19
0 : 1
Sporting CP U19
13 Sept
Sporting CP U19
3 : 0
Alverca U19
09 Sept
Sporting CP U19
2 : 2
Galatasaray U19
29 Aug
Torreense U19
1 : 2
Sporting CP U19
22 Aug
Sporting CP U19
2 : 1
Oriental U19
Page 1 of 7

Leiria U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Torreense U19
3 : 1
Leiria U19
12 Sept
Leiria U19
2 : 2
Oriental U19
05 Sept
Leiria U19
1 : 2
Santa Clara U19
29 Aug
Benfica U19
5 : 0
Leiria U19
23 Aug
Casa Pia U19
0 : 0
Leiria U19
Page 1 of 6