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Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Next Gen U23
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Ferreira S.
50' Event
Momade R.
79' Event
Besugo R.

AI Match Summary

Sporting CP U23 in this Liga Next Gen U23 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting CP U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Sporting CP U23
20%
Draws
42%
Benfica U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Benfica U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sporting CP U23 haven't matched Benfica U23's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Sporting CP U23 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Sporting CP U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Benfica U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting CP U23 Benfica U23
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 3
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23
4:1
Apr 24, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23
2:1
Feb 17, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Benfica U23 vs Sporting CP U23
4:2
Oct 5, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23
0:1
Aug 21, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Benfica U23 vs Sporting CP U23
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting CP U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Momade R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Benfica U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Galinho M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting CP U23 42 / 100
Benfica U23 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting CP U23 Benfica U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting CP U23's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Benfica U23 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Sporting CP U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting CP U23 VS Benfica U23
2 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting CP U23

(Home)
09 Oct
Estoril U23
1 : 0
Sporting CP U23
19 Sept
Sporting CP U23
1 : 1
Penafiel U23
15 Sept
Sporting CP U23
2 : 2
Academico Viseu U23
05 Sept
Leixoes U23
3 : 4
Sporting CP U23
01 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
1 : 2
Sporting CP U23
Page 1 of 6

Benfica U23

(Away)
25 Sept
Maritimo U23
1 : 3
Benfica U23
19 Sept
Benfica U23
3 : 0
Torreense U23
14 Sept
Leiria U23
1 : 2
Benfica U23
09 Sept
Benfica U23
0 : 1
Vizela U23
02 Sept
Benfica U23
1 : 2
Academico Viseu U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U23 7 4 3 0 15:9 15
2 Academico Viseu U23 7 4 2 1 14:10 14
3 Estoril U23 7 3 4 0 16:12 13
4 Rio Ave U23 7 3 3 1 8:5 12
5 FC Felgueiras U23 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
6 SC Farense U23 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
7 Braga U23 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
8 Vizela U23 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
9 Benfica U23 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
10 Santa Clara U23 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
11 Gil Vicente U23 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
12 Moreirense U23 7 1 5 1 10:9 8
13 Famalicao U23 7 2 2 3 13:15 8
14 Leiria U23 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
15 Leixoes U23 7 1 3 3 12:12 6
16 Torreense U23 6 1 3 2 9:12 6
17 Penafiel U23 7 0 5 2 9:11 5
18 Estrela da Amadora U23 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
19 Portimonense U23 7 0 4 3 4:9 4
20 Maritimo U23 7 0 3 4 5:12 3
Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage)