Sport Picks
Sporting CP vs Alverca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga Portugal Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon 
Match Events
2'
2'
Araujo M.
16'
16'
Bojang Y.
22'
22'
Catamo G.
AI Match Summary
Sporting CP in this Liga Portugal matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting CP.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sporting CP
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sporting CP lately — more wins on the board than Alverca.
- Win probability leans Sporting CP's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Liga Portugal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Sporting CP have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Sporting CP Clean Sheet 68%
Alverca Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting CP | Alverca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 27 |
| Wins | 18 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 4 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.43 | 1.15 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Liga Portugal
Sporting CP vs Alverca
3:1
Mar 22, 2026 Liga Portugal
Alverca vs Sporting CP
1:4
Oct 31, 2025 Liga Portugal
Sporting CP vs Alverca
2:0
Oct 28, 2025 League Cup
Sporting CP vs Alverca
5:1
Oct 17, 2019 Taça de Portugal
Alverca vs Sporting CP
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sporting CP Compare
Top Goalscorer Araujo M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Suarez L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Alverca Compare
Top Goalscorer Figueiredo
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting CP 68 / 100
Alverca 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting CP Alverca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sporting CP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sporting CP scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Alverca let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Sporting CP stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sporting CP VS Alverca
2.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting CP
(Home) 19 Sept
Sporting CP
2 : 2 Arouca
13 Sept
Famalicao
1 : 1 Sporting CP
09 Sept
Sporting CP
3 : 1 Galatasaray
05 Sept
Sporting CP
2 : 0 Nacional
28 Aug
Rio Ave
0 : 4 Sporting CP
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Sporting CP
2 : 2 Arouca
09 Sept
Sporting CP
3 : 1 Galatasaray
05 Sept
Sporting CP
2 : 0 Nacional
22 Aug
Sporting CP
3 : 1 Alverca
14 Aug
Sporting CP
3 : 2 Vitoria Guimaraes
Page 1 of 4
Alverca
(Away) 19 Sept
Alverca
1 : 0 Rio Ave
12 Sept
Nacional
1 : 3 Alverca
05 Sept
Alverca
1 : 2 Braga
29 Aug
Alverca
1 : 1 Santa Clara
22 Aug
Sporting CP
3 : 1 Alverca
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Nacional
1 : 3 Alverca
22 Aug
Sporting CP
3 : 1 Alverca
09 Aug
FC Porto
2 : 0 Alverca
25 Jul
Mafra
1 : 0 Alverca
11 Jul
Leiria
0 : 1 Alverca
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 21 |
| 2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 5 | Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Academico Viseu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Estrela da Amadora | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 9 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 10 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:14 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 15 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:16 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2027/2028 (Main)
