Sport Picks

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Sporting CP vs Bodo/Glimt

Europe Europe

Champions League 2025/2026 Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon
Tue, Mar 17, 2026
5 - 0
05:45 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Blomberg O.
34' Event
Inacio G.
Assist: Trincao F.
46'
Hjulmand M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-0, with Sporting CP advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Sporting CP
15%
Draws
46%
Bodo/Glimt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bodo/Glimt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bodo/Glimt come out ahead of Sporting CP on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Bodo/Glimt arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sporting CP, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sporting CP Clean Sheet 12%
Bodo/Glimt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting CP Bodo/Glimt
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 18 26
Draws 7 3
Losses 4 3
Goals Scored 2.45 2.81
Goals Conceded 0.9 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 Champions League
Sporting CP vs Bodo/Glimt
5:0
Mar 11, 2026 Champions League
Bodo/Glimt vs Sporting CP
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting CP Compare

Top Goalscorer Inacio G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Goncalves P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Bodo/Glimt Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting CP 35 / 100
Bodo/Glimt 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting CP Bodo/Glimt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bodo/Glimt Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting CP found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sporting CP stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Bodo/Glimt's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sporting CP VS Bodo/Glimt
3.13 Goals Scored 2.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting CP

(Home)
28 Aug
Rio Ave
0 : 4
Sporting CP
22 Aug
Sporting CP
3 : 1
Alverca
14 Aug
Sporting CP
3 : 2
Vitoria Guimaraes
08 Aug
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2
Sporting CP
31 Jul
Sporting CP
4 : 1
Nottingham
Page 1 of 6

Bodo/Glimt

(Away)
30 Aug
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 2
Rosenborg
26 Aug
Fauske Sprint
0 : 5
Bodo/Glimt
25 Aug
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 0
Nijmegen
19 Aug
Nijmegen
1 : 3
Bodo/Glimt
11 Aug
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 2
Royale Union SG
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Monaco 4
PSG 5
Chelsea -
TBD -
Galatasaray 7
Juventus 5
Liverpool -
TBD -
Benfica 1
Real Madrid 3
Manchester City -
TBD -
Dortmund 3
Atalanta 4
Bayern Munich -
TBD -
Qarabag Agdam 3
Newcastle Utd 9
Barcelona -
TBD -
Club Brugge 4
Atl. Madrid 7
Tottenham -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt 5
Inter 2
Sporting CP -
TBD -
Olympiacos Piraeus 0
Bayer Leverkusen 2
Arsenal -
TBD -
1/8-finals
PSG 8
Chelsea 2
Galatasaray 1
Liverpool 4
Real Madrid 5
Manchester City 1
Atalanta 2
Bayern Munich 10
Newcastle Utd 3
Barcelona 8
Atl. Madrid 7
Tottenham 5
Bodo/Glimt 3
Sporting CP 5
Bayer Leverkusen 1
Arsenal 3
Quarter-finals
PSG 4
Liverpool 0
Real Madrid 4
Bayern Munich 6
Barcelona 2
Atl. Madrid 3
Sporting CP 0
Arsenal 1
Semi-finals
PSG 6
Bayern Munich 5
Atl. Madrid 1
Arsenal 2
Final
PSG 2
Arsenal 1