Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting CP vs Celtic

World World

Club Friendly
Tue, Jul 14, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sporting CP play Celtic in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sporting CP averaged 2.19 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. Celtic averaged 2.17 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. In past meetings, Sporting CP won 1, Celtic won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 16, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Sporting CP and 1.94 for Celtic. This points to a Celtic double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Sporting CP
15%
Draws
46%
Celtic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Celtic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Sporting CP picked up more points recently compared to Celtic.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Sporting CP Clean Sheet 10%
Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting CP Celtic
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 19 21
Draws 7 4
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 2.19 2.17
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Sporting CP vs Celtic
0:2
Jul 22, 2010 Club Friendly
Celtic vs Sporting CP
2:1
Nov 3, 1993 Europa League
Sporting CP vs Celtic
2:0
Oct 20, 1993 Europa League
Celtic vs Sporting CP
1:0
Nov 2, 1983 Europa League
Celtic vs Sporting CP
5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting CP 37 / 100
Celtic 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting CP Celtic

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Celtic or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sporting CP attacking → ← attacking Celtic

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting CP scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Celtic let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Sporting CP went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Celtic lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

64 Points in last 5 67
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 3.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13