Sport Picks
Sporting CP vs Gil Vicente
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2025/2026 Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon 
Match Events
15'
15'
Quaresma E.
Assist: Goncalves P.
34'
34'
Suarez L.
46'
46'
Sub
Fernandes J. In: Moreira A.
Out: Fernandes J.
AI Match Summary
Sporting CP in this Liga Portugal 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting CP.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sporting CP
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Sporting CP have won more games recently than Gil Vicente.
- Win probability leans Sporting CP's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Sporting CP Clean Sheet 68%
Gil Vicente Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting CP | Gil Vicente |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 19 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 4 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 Liga Portugal
Sporting CP vs Gil Vicente
3:0
Jan 2, 2026 Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente vs Sporting CP
1:1
May 4, 2025 Liga Portugal
Sporting CP vs Gil Vicente
2:1
Feb 27, 2025 Taça de Portugal
Gil Vicente vs Sporting CP
0:1
Dec 22, 2024 Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente vs Sporting CP
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sporting CP Compare
Top Goalscorer Quaresma E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Suarez L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Gil Vicente Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting CP 95 / 100
Gil Vicente 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting CP Gil Vicente
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sporting CP scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Gil Vicente's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Recent resilience: Sporting CP stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sporting CP VS Gil Vicente
2 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting CP
(Home) 20 Jul
Sporting CP
7 : 0 Strasbourg
14 Jul
Sporting CP
4 : 1 Celtic
24 May
Sporting CP
1 : 2 Torreense
16 May
Sporting CP
3 : 0 Gil Vicente
11 May
Rio Ave
1 : 4 Sporting CP
Page 1 of 6
20 Jul
Sporting CP
7 : 0 Strasbourg
14 Jul
Sporting CP
4 : 1 Celtic
24 May
Sporting CP
1 : 2 Torreense
16 May
Sporting CP
3 : 0 Gil Vicente
04 May
Sporting CP
5 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes
Page 1 of 4
Gil Vicente
(Away) 18 Jul
Gil Vicente
1 : 1 FC Felgueiras
16 May
Sporting CP
3 : 0 Gil Vicente
11 May
Gil Vicente
1 : 3 Arouca
03 May
Rio Ave
0 : 0 Gil Vicente
27 Apr
Gil Vicente
2 : 1 Casa Pia
Page 1 of 6
16 May
Sporting CP
3 : 0 Gil Vicente
03 May
Rio Ave
0 : 0 Gil Vicente
13 Apr
Tondela
2 : 2 Gil Vicente
21 Mar
Santa Clara
1 : 0 Gil Vicente
08 Mar
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2 Gil Vicente
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66:18 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89:24 | 82 |
| 3 | Benfica | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74:25 | 80 |
| 4 | Braga | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64:36 | 59 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42:29 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47:38 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:49 | 43 |
| 8 | Arouca | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47:64 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39:51 | 42 |
| 10 | Estoril | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54:57 | 39 |
| 11 | Alverca | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:52 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35:57 | 36 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | 36 |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:45 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:56 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31:57 | 30 |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:55 | 28 |
| 18 | AFS | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27:67 | 21 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Main)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Main)