Sport Picks
Sporting CP vs Gil Vicente
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2025/2026 Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon 
Match Events
15'
15'
Quaresma E.
Assist: Goncalves P.
34'
34'
Suarez L.
46'
46'
Sub
Fernandes J. In: Moreira A.
Out: Fernandes J.
AI Match Summary
Sporting CP in this Liga Portugal 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting CP.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sporting CP
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sporting CP have won more games recently than Gil Vicente.
- Win probability leans Sporting CP's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Sporting CP Clean Sheet 68%
Gil Vicente Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting CP | Gil Vicente |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 29 |
| Wins | 22 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 4 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.4 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 Liga Portugal
Sporting CP vs Gil Vicente
3:0
Jan 2, 2026 Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente vs Sporting CP
1:1
May 4, 2025 Liga Portugal
Sporting CP vs Gil Vicente
2:1
Feb 27, 2025 Taça de Portugal
Gil Vicente vs Sporting CP
0:1
Dec 22, 2024 Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente vs Sporting CP
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sporting CP Compare
Top Goalscorer Quaresma E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Suarez L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Gil Vicente Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting CP 95 / 100
Gil Vicente 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting CP Gil Vicente
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sporting CP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sporting CP scored in 89% of their last 35 outings.
Recent resilience: Sporting CP stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Gil Vicente let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Sporting CP VS Gil Vicente
2.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
75% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting CP
(Home) 19 Sept
Sporting CP
2 : 2 Arouca
13 Sept
Famalicao
1 : 1 Sporting CP
09 Sept
Sporting CP
3 : 1 Galatasaray
05 Sept
Sporting CP
2 : 0 Nacional
28 Aug
Rio Ave
0 : 4 Sporting CP
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Sporting CP
2 : 2 Arouca
09 Sept
Sporting CP
3 : 1 Galatasaray
05 Sept
Sporting CP
2 : 0 Nacional
22 Aug
Sporting CP
3 : 1 Alverca
14 Aug
Sporting CP
3 : 2 Vitoria Guimaraes
Page 1 of 5
Gil Vicente
(Away) 19 Sept
Gil Vicente
1 : 1 Maritimo
13 Sept
Benfica
3 : 1 Gil Vicente
06 Sept
Gil Vicente
0 : 1 Academico Viseu
30 Aug
Famalicao
0 : 0 Gil Vicente
24 Aug
Gil Vicente
2 : 0 Casa Pia
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Benfica
3 : 1 Gil Vicente
30 Aug
Famalicao
0 : 0 Gil Vicente
01 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 2 Gil Vicente
16 May
Sporting CP
3 : 0 Gil Vicente
03 May
Rio Ave
0 : 0 Gil Vicente
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66:18 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89:24 | 82 |
| 3 | Benfica | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74:25 | 80 |
| 4 | Braga | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64:36 | 59 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42:29 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47:38 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:49 | 43 |
| 8 | Arouca | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47:64 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39:51 | 42 |
| 10 | Estoril | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54:57 | 39 |
| 11 | Alverca | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:52 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35:57 | 36 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | 36 |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:45 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:56 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31:57 | 30 |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:55 | 28 |
| 18 | AFS | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27:67 | 21 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Main)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Main)
