Sport Picks
Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes
Portugal
Liga Portugal Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon 
Match Events
9'
9'
Goncalves F.
Assist: Ioannidis F.
22'
22'
Ioannidis F.
Assist: Catamo G.
24'
24'
Altimira S.
AI Match Summary
Sporting CP in this Liga Portugal matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting CP.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sporting CP
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sporting CP lately — more wins on the board than Vitoria Guimaraes.
- 45% — that's where the model lands on Sporting CP taking it.
- Regular Liga Portugal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Sporting CP have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sporting CP Clean Sheet 20%
Vitoria Guimaraes Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting CP | Vitoria Guimaraes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 27 |
| Wins | 20 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 4 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.44 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2026 Liga Portugal
Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes
3:2
May 4, 2026 Liga Portugal
Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes
5:1
Jan 6, 2026 League Cup
Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes
1:2
Dec 23, 2025 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting CP
1:4
May 17, 2025 Liga Portugal
Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sporting CP Compare
Top Goalscorer Goncalves F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ioannidis F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Vitoria Guimaraes Compare
Top Goalscorer Samu
1 Goals Assists Leader Ndoye A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting CP 85 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting CP Vitoria Guimaraes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sporting CP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 9:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sporting CP's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.
Sporting CP has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Vitoria Guimaraes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.
Scoring Trends
Sporting CP VS Vitoria Guimaraes
2.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting CP
(Home) 19 Sept
Sporting CP
2 : 2 Arouca
13 Sept
Famalicao
1 : 1 Sporting CP
09 Sept
Sporting CP
3 : 1 Galatasaray
05 Sept
Sporting CP
2 : 0 Nacional
28 Aug
Rio Ave
0 : 4 Sporting CP
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Sporting CP
2 : 2 Arouca
09 Sept
Sporting CP
3 : 1 Galatasaray
05 Sept
Sporting CP
2 : 0 Nacional
22 Aug
Sporting CP
3 : 1 Alverca
14 Aug
Sporting CP
3 : 2 Vitoria Guimaraes
Page 1 of 5
Vitoria Guimaraes
(Away) 20 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
1 : 1 Moreirense
12 Sept
Academico Viseu
2 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes
06 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
0 : 0 Casa Pia
31 Aug
Braga
1 : 0 Vitoria Guimaraes
23 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes
1 : 0 Nacional
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Academico Viseu
2 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes
31 Aug
Braga
1 : 0 Vitoria Guimaraes
14 Aug
Sporting CP
3 : 2 Vitoria Guimaraes
02 Aug
Varzim
1 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes
24 Jul
Al Ahli SC
1 : 3 Vitoria Guimaraes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 21 |
| 2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 5 | Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Academico Viseu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Estrela da Amadora | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 9 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 10 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:14 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 15 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:16 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2027/2028 (Main)
