Sport Picks
Sporting Cristal vs Cajamarca
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima 
Match Events
8'
8'
Vizeu F.
Assist: Yotun Y.
14'
14'
Dioses D.
19'
19'
Munoz A.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 1 game between Sporting Cristal and Cajamarca finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting Cristal.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Cristal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Sporting Cristal carry the better recent record into this one.
- Sporting Cristal are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Sporting Cristal Clean Sheet 20%
Cajamarca Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting Cristal | Cajamarca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Cajamarca
3:2
Aug 23, 2025 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Cajamarca
2:2
Apr 6, 2025 Liga 1
Cajamarca vs Sporting Cristal
4:1
Aug 25, 2024 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Cajamarca
4:0
Mar 31, 2024 Liga 1
Cajamarca vs Sporting Cristal
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sporting Cristal Compare
Top Goalscorer Vizeu F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Iberico L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Cajamarca Compare
Top Goalscorer Arroyo A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lliuya M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting Cristal 85 / 100
Cajamarca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting Cristal Cajamarca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sporting Cristal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cajamarca let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.
Difficult form: Cajamarca registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Sporting Cristal scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Sporting Cristal VS Cajamarca
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting Cristal
(Home) 06 Sept
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0 Los Chankas
30 Aug
Sport Boys
1 : 0 Sporting Cristal
26 Aug
Sporting Cristal
4 : 1 Sport Huancayo
21 Aug
Alianza Atl.
3 : 1 Sporting Cristal
16 Aug
Sporting Cristal
4 : 1 Sport Huancayo
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0 Los Chankas
26 Aug
Sporting Cristal
4 : 1 Sport Huancayo
16 Aug
Sporting Cristal
4 : 1 Sport Huancayo
02 Aug
Sporting Cristal
2 : 0 Juan Pablo II
23 Jul
Sporting Cristal
0 : 0 Bragantino
Page 1 of 3
Cajamarca
(Away) 04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2 Cajamarca
29 Aug
Cajamarca
2 : 4 Universitario de Deportes
25 Aug
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Cajamarca
22 Aug
Cajamarca
1 : 3 Comerciantes Unidos
16 Aug
A. Lima
1 : 0 Cajamarca
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2 Cajamarca
25 Aug
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Cajamarca
16 Aug
A. Lima
1 : 0 Cajamarca
01 Aug
Cusco
4 : 1 Cajamarca
18 Jul
Atletico Grau
3 : 1 Cajamarca
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario de Deportes | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl. | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | AD Tarma | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | 16 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
