Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting Cristal vs Cobresol

Peru Peru

Primera Division 2012
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Valverde M.
13' Event
Ross J.
26' Event
Ross J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2012 game between Sporting Cristal and Cobresol finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting Cristal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Sporting Cristal
15%
Draws
26%
Cobresol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Cristal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Sporting Cristal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sporting Cristal's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Primera Division 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Sporting Cristal Clean Sheet 68%
Cobresol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Cristal Cobresol
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.5 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2012 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Cobresol
6:0
Sep 9, 2012 Liga 1
Cobresol vs Sporting Cristal
0:2
Jun 17, 2012 Liga 1
Cobresol vs Sporting Cristal
1:0
Feb 18, 2012 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Cobresol
2:1
Sep 25, 2011 Liga 1
Cobresol vs Sporting Cristal
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Cristal Compare

Top Goalscorer Ross J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Valverde M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Cobresol Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Cristal 95 / 100
Cobresol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Cristal Cobresol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Cristal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cobresol has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Sporting Cristal scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Sporting Cristal remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Cristal VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Cristal

(Home)
30 Aug
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Sporting Cristal
26 Aug
Sporting Cristal
4 : 1
Sport Huancayo
21 Aug
Alianza Atl.
3 : 1
Sporting Cristal
16 Aug
Sporting Cristal
4 : 1
Sport Huancayo
08 Aug
Universitario de Deportes
1 : 1
Sporting Cristal
Page 1 of 7

Cobresol

(Away)
25 Nov
Ayacucho
2 : 0
Cobresol
18 Nov
Cobresol
1 : 2
U. San Martin
11 Nov
Cobresol
4 : 0
Sport Huancayo
06 Nov
Universitario de Deportes
4 : 0
Cobresol
01 Nov
Cobresol
1 : 2
Cienciano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Cristal 44 25 11 8 93:44 86
2 Sport Huancayo 44 18 9 17 52:51 63
3 Ayacucho 44 17 11 16 43:45 62
4 U. San Martin 44 16 12 16 49:52 61
5 Jose Galvez 44 17 10 17 48:54 61
6 Cienciano 44 16 9 19 58:59 57
7 Universitario de Deportes 44 15 13 16 52:58 57
8 Cobresol 44 6 8 30 33:82 22
Promotion - Primera Division 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cusco 44 24 10 10 63:35 82
2 Cesar Vallejo 44 21 11 12 57:44 74
3 Juan Aurich 44 20 9 15 56:54 71
4 FBC Melgar 44 18 12 14 56:44 66
5 Union Comercio 44 16 9 19 51:61 57
6 Leon de Huanuco 44 13 15 16 54:47 54
7 A. Lima 44 14 15 15 50:51 53
8 Sport Boys 44 6 16 22 36:70 32
Promotion - Primera Division 2012 (Play Offs)