Sport Picks

Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima

Comerciantes Unidos

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sporting Cristal host Comerciantes Unidos in the Liga 1. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Sporting Cristal have averaged 1.71 scored and 1.23 conceded recently, against Comerciantes Unidos's 1.21 scored and 1.38 conceded. Past meetings favor Sporting Cristal slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.88 - 1.19) back Sporting Cristal to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%

Sporting Cristal

15%

Draws

18%

Comerciantes Unidos

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Cristal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence

Comerciantes Unidos haven't matched Sporting Cristal's recent run of results.
Model gives Sporting Cristal a 67% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Sporting Cristal here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Sporting Cristal Clean Sheet 20%

Comerciantes Unidos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sporting Cristal	Comerciantes Unidos
Matches Played	35	29
Wins	17	7
Draws	5	10
Losses	13	12
Goals Scored	1.71	1.21
Goals Conceded	1.23	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga 1

Comerciantes Unidos vs Sporting Cristal

1:0

Nov 1, 2025 Liga 1

Comerciantes Unidos vs Sporting Cristal

1:4

Jun 29, 2025 Liga 1

Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos

2:0

Nov 3, 2024 Liga 1

Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos

3:0

May 25, 2024 Liga 1

Comerciantes Unidos vs Sporting Cristal

0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Cristal 85 / 100

Comerciantes Unidos 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sporting Cristal Comerciantes Unidos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Cristal Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sporting Cristal scored in 83% of their last 35 outings.

Sporting Cristal went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Comerciantes Unidos has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Cristal VS Comerciantes Unidos

2.38 Goals Scored 1.38

1 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History