Sport Picks
Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima 
Match Events
12'
12'
32'
32'
Sub
Sosa L. In: Gonzalez J.
Out: Sosa L.
50'
50'
Sub
Salazar A. In: Portales J.
Out: Salazar A.
AI Match Summary
Sporting Cristal in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting Cristal.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Cristal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Deportivo Garcilaso have won more games recently than Sporting Cristal.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Sporting Cristal have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sporting Cristal Clean Sheet 16%
Deportivo Garcilaso Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting Cristal | Deportivo Garcilaso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 17, 2026 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1:0
Feb 1, 2026 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sporting Cristal
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sporting Cristal
0:1
Jun 15, 2025 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso
3:2
Sep 17, 2024 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sporting Cristal Compare
Top Goalscorer Tavara M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Deportivo Garcilaso Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting Cristal 31 / 100
Deportivo Garcilaso 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting Cristal Deportivo Garcilaso
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sporting Cristal scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Deportivo Garcilaso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Sporting Cristal went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sporting Cristal VS Deportivo Garcilaso
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting Cristal
(Home) 19 Sept
Sporting Cristal
3 : 1 Atletico Grau
13 Sept
Moquegua
1 : 2 Sporting Cristal
06 Sept
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0 Los Chankas
30 Aug
Sport Boys
1 : 0 Sporting Cristal
26 Aug
Sporting Cristal
4 : 1 Sport Huancayo
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Sporting Cristal
3 : 1 Atletico Grau
06 Sept
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0 Los Chankas
26 Aug
Sporting Cristal
4 : 1 Sport Huancayo
16 Aug
Sporting Cristal
4 : 1 Sport Huancayo
02 Aug
Sporting Cristal
2 : 0 Juan Pablo II
Page 1 of 3
Deportivo Garcilaso
(Away) 19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
13 Sept
Sport Boys
1 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2 Atletico Grau
30 Aug
A. Lima
0 : 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
23 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1 Cusco
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Sport Boys
1 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
30 Aug
A. Lima
0 : 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
16 Aug
Cienciano
0 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
02 Aug
AD Tarma
0 : 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
17 Jul
Sporting Cristal
1 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:6 | 22 |
| 2 | Universitario de Deportes | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 5 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 19 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 18 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 10 | A. Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:13 | 16 |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:24 | 10 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 9 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:17 | 7 |
| 15 | Moquegua | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7:17 | 7 |
| 16 | Los Chankas | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:21 | 5 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
