Sport Picks
Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima 
Match Events
12'
12'
32'
32'
Sub
Sosa L. In: Gonzalez J.
Out: Sosa L.
50'
50'
Sub
Salazar A. In: Portales J.
Out: Salazar A.
AI Match Summary
Sporting Cristal in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting Cristal.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Sporting Cristal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Sporting Cristal have won more games recently than Deportivo Garcilaso.
- Win probability leans Sporting Cristal's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Sporting Cristal have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Sporting Cristal Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Garcilaso Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting Cristal | Deportivo Garcilaso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 17, 2026 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1:0
Feb 1, 2026 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sporting Cristal
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sporting Cristal
0:1
Jun 15, 2025 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso
3:2
Sep 17, 2024 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sporting Cristal Compare
Top Goalscorer Tavara M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Deportivo Garcilaso Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting Cristal 68 / 100
Deportivo Garcilaso 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting Cristal Deportivo Garcilaso
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sporting Cristal scored in 86% of their last 37 outings.
Recent resilience: Sporting Cristal stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Deportivo Garcilaso has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Sporting Cristal VS Deportivo Garcilaso
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting Cristal
(Home) 17 Jul
Sporting Cristal
1 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
11 Jul
Sporting Cristal
2 : 1 Tacna Heroica
27 Jun
Sporting Cristal
2 : 0 Union Comercio
21 Jun
Estudiantil CNI
1 : 2 Sporting Cristal
13 Jun
Comerciantes FC
1 : 1 Sporting Cristal
Page 1 of 8
17 Jul
Sporting Cristal
1 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
11 Jul
Sporting Cristal
2 : 1 Tacna Heroica
27 Jun
Sporting Cristal
2 : 0 Union Comercio
24 May
Sporting Cristal
2 : 1 AD Tarma
05 May
Sporting Cristal
0 : 2 Palmeiras
Page 1 of 4
Deportivo Garcilaso
(Away) 17 Jul
Sporting Cristal
1 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
12 Jul
Moquegua
1 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
29 Jun
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1 Binacional
21 Jun
Cienciano
2 : 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
14 Jun
Deportivo Garcilaso
0 : 0 Cusco
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Sporting Cristal
1 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
12 Jul
Moquegua
1 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
21 Jun
Cienciano
2 : 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
25 May
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
04 May
Los Chankas
0 : 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 2 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Atletico Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 4 | A. Lima | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Universitario de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 7 | Los Chankas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 8 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 9 | Moquegua | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 11 | FC Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 13 | AD Tarma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 14 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 15 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 16 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 17 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 18 | Alianza Atl. | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)