Sport Picks

Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima

FC Cajamarca

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sporting Cristal host FC Cajamarca in the Liga 1. Form suggests where the edge lies here. FC Cajamarca have shipped 1.93 goals a game lately, while Sporting Cristal have conceded 1.34 and scored 1.77. Head-to-head, Sporting Cristal have won 0 to FC Cajamarca's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 15, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 2.25 vs 0.88, favoring Sporting Cristal. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%

Sporting Cristal

15%

Draws

21%

FC Cajamarca

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Cristal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Sporting Cristal come out ahead of FC Cajamarca on wins alone.
Win probability leans Sporting Cristal's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%

Sporting Cristal Clean Sheet 20%

FC Cajamarca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sporting Cristal	FC Cajamarca
Matches Played	35	28
Wins	17	6
Draws	5	6
Losses	13	16
Goals Scored	1.77	1.36
Goals Conceded	1.34	1.93
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Liga 1

FC Cajamarca vs Sporting Cristal

3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Cristal 85 / 100

FC Cajamarca 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sporting Cristal FC Cajamarca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Cristal Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Cristal scored in 86% of their last 35 games.

FC Cajamarca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Sporting Cristal remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Cristal VS FC Cajamarca

2.63 Goals Scored 1.25

0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88

63% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History