Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Nacional de Lima, Lima

Sporting Cristal

2 - 0

Junior

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Cazonatti G.

21'

Pena J.

46'

Sub

Cazonatti G. In: Tavara M.

Out: Cazonatti G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%

Sporting Cristal

30%

Draws

18%

Junior

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sporting Cristal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Sporting Cristal come out ahead of Junior on wins alone.
Model gives Sporting Cristal a 52% chance of winning this.
Sporting Cristal have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Sporting Cristal, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%

Sporting Cristal Clean Sheet 68%

Junior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sporting Cristal	Junior
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	12	9
Draws	5	8
Losses	11	12
Goals Scored	1.57	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.36	1.45
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Junior vs Sporting Cristal

3:2

Apr 29, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Sporting Cristal vs Junior

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Cristal Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Cabellos C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Junior Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08

Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Cristal 95 / 100

Junior 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sporting Cristal Junior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Cristal Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Sporting Cristal found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Junior conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Sporting Cristal went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Cristal VS Junior

2.13 Goals Scored 1.38

1 Goals Conceded 2.13

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Cristal

(Home)

13 Sept

Moquegua

1 : 2

Sporting Cristal

06 Sept

Sporting Cristal

5 : 0

Los Chankas

30 Aug

Sport Boys

1 : 0

Sporting Cristal

26 Aug

Sporting Cristal

4 : 1

Sport Huancayo

21 Aug

Alianza Atl.

3 : 1

Sporting Cristal

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Junior

(Away)

13 Sept

Alianza

1 : 0

Junior

06 Sept

Junior

3 : 3

Jaguares de Cordoba

29 Aug

Junior

1 : 1

Santa Fe

26 Aug

America De Cali

4 : 2

Junior

24 Aug

Junior

1 : 1

Once Caldas

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