Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Nacional de Lima, Lima

Sporting Cristal

2 - 0

Junior

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Cazonatti G.

21'

Pena J.

46'

Sub

Cazonatti G. In: Tavara M.

Out: Cazonatti G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Sporting Cristal advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Sporting Cristal

20%

Draws

38%

Junior

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sporting Cristal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Junior come out ahead of Sporting Cristal on wins alone.
Model gives Sporting Cristal a 42% chance of winning this.
Junior arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Sporting Cristal, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Sporting Cristal Clean Sheet 20%

Junior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sporting Cristal	Junior
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	11	12
Draws	5	6
Losses	12	10
Goals Scored	1.5	1
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Junior vs Sporting Cristal

3:2

Apr 29, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Sporting Cristal vs Junior

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Cristal Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Cabellos C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Junior Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Cristal 42 / 100

Junior 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sporting Cristal Junior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Cristal's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Junior conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Sporting Cristal went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Cristal VS Junior

1.5 Goals Scored 1

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Cristal

(Home)

26 Jul

FBC Melgar

2 : 1

Sporting Cristal

23 Jul

Sporting Cristal

0 : 0

Bragantino

17 Jul

Sporting Cristal

1 : 0

Deportivo Garcilaso

11 Jul

Sporting Cristal

2 : 1

Tacna Heroica

27 Jun

Sporting Cristal

2 : 0

Union Comercio

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Junior

(Away)

26 Jul

Deportes Tolima

2 : 1

Junior

23 Jul

Junior

2 : 2

Barranquilla

08 Jun

Atl. Nacional

1 : 0

Junior

03 Jun

Junior

3 : 0

Atl. Nacional

28 May

Palmeiras

4 : 1

Junior

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