Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting Cristal vs Los Chankas

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Gonzalez S.
Assist: Hoyos M.
32'
Velarde C.
42' Event
Iberico L.
Assist: Yotun Y.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between Sporting Cristal and Los Chankas finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting Cristal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sporting Cristal
15%
Draws
0%
Los Chankas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Cristal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Los Chankas come out ahead of Sporting Cristal on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sporting Cristal a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sporting Cristal Clean Sheet 20%
Los Chankas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Cristal Los Chankas
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.61 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Los Chankas
5:0
Mar 21, 2026 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Sporting Cristal
3:2
Oct 26, 2025 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Los Chankas
0:1
Sep 25, 2025 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Sporting Cristal
0:0
Jun 21, 2025 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Sporting Cristal
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Cristal Compare

Top Goalscorer Yotun Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Los Chankas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Cristal 85 / 100
Los Chankas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Cristal Los Chankas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Cristal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Cristal found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Away concern: Los Chankas has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Los Chankas conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Cristal VS Los Chankas
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Cristal

(Home)
19 Sept
Sporting Cristal
3 : 1
Atletico Grau
13 Sept
Moquegua
1 : 2
Sporting Cristal
06 Sept
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0
Los Chankas
30 Aug
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Sporting Cristal
26 Aug
Sporting Cristal
4 : 1
Sport Huancayo
Page 1 of 7

Los Chankas

(Away)
12 Sept
Los Chankas
1 : 2
FC Cajamarca
06 Sept
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0
Los Chankas
29 Aug
Los Chankas
3 : 4
Juan Pablo II
23 Aug
Universitario de Deportes
3 : 0
Los Chankas
15 Aug
Los Chankas
0 : 3
FBC Melgar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso 10 7 1 2 18:6 22
2 Universitario de Deportes 10 6 2 2 19:16 20
3 Sporting Cristal 10 6 1 3 20:10 19
4 Alianza Atl. 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
5 Sport Huancayo 10 6 1 3 16:13 19
6 Juan Pablo II 10 5 3 2 20:12 18
7 FBC Melgar 10 5 3 2 16:9 18
8 Sport Boys 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
9 Cusco 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
10 A. Lima 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
11 Atletico Grau 10 5 1 4 14:13 16
12 FC Cajamarca 10 3 1 6 18:24 10
13 Comerciantes Unidos 10 2 3 5 17:18 9
14 Cienciano 9 2 1 6 11:17 7
15 Moquegua 10 1 4 5 7:17 7
16 Los Chankas 9 2 1 6 10:23 7
17 AD Tarma 10 1 2 7 7:21 5
18 Cajamarca 10 0 2 8 11:24 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)