Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Nacional de Lima

Sporting Cristal

0 - 2

Palmeiras

Our Tip

Match Events

18'

Gomez G.

30'

Avila I.

32'

Lopez J.

Assist: Arias J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Palmeiras in this Copa Libertadores matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Palmeiras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Sporting Cristal

30%

Draws

34%

Palmeiras

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sporting Cristal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Palmeiras have won more games recently than Sporting Cristal.
Win probability leans Sporting Cristal's way, sitting at 36%.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Palmeiras have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Sporting Cristal Clean Sheet 11%

Palmeiras Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sporting Cristal	Palmeiras
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	12	20
Draws	6	7
Losses	11	2
Goals Scored	1.38	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.88	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras

Possession: 56% - 54% Cards: 1 - 4

0:2

Apr 16, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras vs Sporting Cristal

Possession: 59% - 56% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

May 29, 2025 Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras vs Sporting Cristal

Possession: 46% - 53% Cards: 2 - 2

6:0

Apr 3, 2025 Copa Libertadores

Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 4 - 2

2:3

Apr 18, 2013 Copa Libertadores

Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras

Possession: 51% - 44% Cards: 0 - 1

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Cristal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Palmeiras Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sosa R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Cristal 35 / 100

Palmeiras 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sporting Cristal Palmeiras

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Cristal's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Sporting Cristal has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Palmeiras has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Cristal VS Palmeiras

1.38 Goals Scored 1.75

1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63

100% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ	6	5	1	0	14:2	16
2	Estudiantes L.P.	6	2	3	1	6:5	9
3	Ind. Medellin	6	2	1	3	6:11	7
4	Cusco	6	0	1	5	4:12	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Coquimbo	6	3	1	2	8:6	10
2	Deportes Tolima	6	2	2	2	7:6	8
3	Club Nacional	6	2	2	2	7:9	8
4	Universitario de Deportes	6	1	3	2	5:6	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ind. Rivadavia	6	5	1	0	15:6	16
2	Fluminense	6	2	2	2	7:7	8
3	Bolivar	6	1	2	3	6:8	5
4	Deportivo La Guaira	6	0	3	3	6:13	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	U. Catolica	6	4	1	1	8:4	13
2	Cruzeiro	6	3	2	1	8:3	11
3	Boca Juniors	6	2	1	3	6:5	7
4	Barcelona SC	6	1	0	5	2:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Corinthians	6	3	2	1	8:4	11
2	Platense	6	3	1	2	8:7	10
3	Santa Fe	6	2	2	2	6:7	8
4	Penarol	6	0	3	3	4:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cerro Porteno	6	4	1	1	6:2	13
2	Palmeiras	6	3	2	1	10:5	11
3	Sporting Cristal	6	2	0	4	6:9	6
4	Junior	6	1	1	4	5:11	4

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	LDU Quito	6	4	2	8:5	12
2	Mirassol	6	4	2	7:4	12
3	Lanus	6	3	3	3:7	9
4	Always Ready	6	1	5	7:9	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	6	4	1	1	11:6	13
2	Rosario Central	6	4	1	1	9:1	13
3	Universidad Central	6	3	0	3	7:11	9
4	Libertad Asuncion	6	0	0	6	4:13	0