Sport Picks
Sporting Cristal W vs FBC Melgar W
Peru
Liga Women 2025 Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima 
AI Match Summary
Sporting Cristal W in this Liga Women 2025 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sporting Cristal W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sporting Cristal W lately — more wins on the board than FBC Melgar W.
- Sporting Cristal W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Sporting Cristal W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sporting Cristal W, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Sporting Cristal W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Sporting Cristal W Clean Sheet 68%
FBC Melgar W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting Cristal W | FBC Melgar W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 3.75 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.75 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 20, 2026 Liga Women
Sporting Cristal W vs FBC Melgar W
8:1
Mar 14, 2026 Liga Women
Sporting Cristal W vs FBC Melgar W
4:0
Oct 12, 2025 Liga Women
Sporting Cristal W vs FBC Melgar W
3:1
Sep 13, 2025 Liga Women
Sporting Cristal W vs FBC Melgar W
4:0
May 10, 2025 Liga Women
FBC Melgar W vs Sporting Cristal W
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting Cristal W 95 / 100
FBC Melgar W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting Cristal W FBC Melgar W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sporting Cristal W's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.
Defensive concern: FBC Melgar W conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Sporting Cristal W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sporting Cristal W VS FBC Melgar W
3.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting Cristal W
(Home) 18 Jul
Universitario de Deportes W
3 : 1 Sporting Cristal W
12 Jul
Sporting Cristal W
2 : 2 Universitario de Deportes W
05 Jul
Atl. Andahuaylas W
2 : 2 Sporting Cristal W
28 Jun
Sporting Cristal W
4 : 1 Atl. Andahuaylas W
20 Jun
Sporting Cristal W
8 : 1 FBC Melgar W
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Sporting Cristal W
2 : 2 Universitario de Deportes W
28 Jun
Sporting Cristal W
4 : 1 Atl. Andahuaylas W
20 Jun
Sporting Cristal W
8 : 1 FBC Melgar W
24 May
Sporting Cristal W
7 : 0 Carlos Mannucci W
16 May
Sporting Cristal W
4 : 1 Killas W
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FBC Melgar W
(Away) 20 Jun
Sporting Cristal W
8 : 1 FBC Melgar W
12 Jun
FBC Melgar W
0 : 0 A. Lima W
30 May
Carlos Mannucci W
1 : 1 FBC Melgar W
25 May
FBC Melgar W
1 : 2 Atl. Andahuaylas W
21 May
Killas W
0 : 2 FBC Melgar W
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20 Jun
Sporting Cristal W
8 : 1 FBC Melgar W
30 May
Carlos Mannucci W
1 : 1 FBC Melgar W
21 May
Killas W
0 : 2 FBC Melgar W
09 May
Flamengo FBC W
1 : 2 FBC Melgar W
26 Apr
Defensores W
3 : 2 FBC Melgar W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
A. Lima W-
TBD-
Carlos Mannucci W2
UNSAAC W0
Universitario de Deportes W-
TBD-
Sporting Cristal W3
FBC Melgar W1
Semi-finals
A. Lima W5
Carlos Mannucci W0
Universitario de Deportes W6
Sporting Cristal W0
Final
A. Lima W1
Universitario de Deportes W1