Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting Cristal W vs Universitario de Deportes W

Peru Peru

Liga Women 2026 Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sporting Cristal W host Universitario de Deportes W in the Liga Women 2026. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Sporting Cristal W at 3.38 goals for, 1 against; Universitario de Deportes W at 3.38 for, 0.75 against. Past meetings favor Universitario de Deportes W slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 2.19, favoring Universitario de Deportes W. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sporting Cristal W
6%
Draws
90%
Universitario de Deportes W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Universitario de Deportes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Universitario de Deportes W come out ahead of Sporting Cristal W on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Universitario de Deportes W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sporting Cristal W Clean Sheet 10%
Universitario de Deportes W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Cristal W Universitario de Deportes W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 20
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 3.38 3.38
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 3.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Liga Women
Universitario de Deportes W vs Sporting Cristal W
3:1
Jul 12, 2026 Liga Women
Sporting Cristal W vs Universitario de Deportes W
2:2
Apr 25, 2026 Liga Women
Universitario de Deportes W vs Sporting Cristal W
3:1
Nov 2, 2025 Liga Women
Universitario de Deportes W vs Sporting Cristal W
6:0
Oct 19, 2025 Liga Women
Sporting Cristal W vs Universitario de Deportes W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Cristal W 10 / 100
Universitario de Deportes W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Cristal W Universitario de Deportes W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Cristal W found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Sporting Cristal W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Universitario de Deportes W conceded in 43% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Cristal W VS Universitario de Deportes W
3.38 Goals Scored 3.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Cristal W

(Home)
18 Jul
Universitario de Deportes W
3 : 1
Sporting Cristal W
12 Jul
Sporting Cristal W
2 : 2
Universitario de Deportes W
05 Jul
Atl. Andahuaylas W
2 : 2
Sporting Cristal W
28 Jun
Sporting Cristal W
4 : 1
Atl. Andahuaylas W
20 Jun
Sporting Cristal W
8 : 1
FBC Melgar W
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Universitario de Deportes W

(Away)
22 Jul
Universitario de Deportes W
12 : 0
Carlos Mannucci W
18 Jul
Universitario de Deportes W
3 : 1
Sporting Cristal W
12 Jul
Sporting Cristal W
2 : 2
Universitario de Deportes W
04 Jul
Universitario de Deportes W
3 : 0
A. Lima W
27 Jun
A. Lima W
1 : 0
Universitario de Deportes W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Deportes W110012:03
2Sporting Cristal W11003:03
3A. Lima W00000:00
4Killas W00000:00
5Defensores W00000:00
6UNSAAC W00000:00
7Flamengo FBC W00000:00
8Yanapuma W00000:00
9Atl. Andahuaylas W00000:00
10FBC Melgar W10010:30
11Carlos Mannucci W10010:120
Promotion - Liga Women 2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Women 2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)