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Sporting Cristal W vs Universitario de Deportes W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga Women 2026 Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga Women 2026 game between Sporting Cristal W and Universitario de Deportes W finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Universitario de Deportes W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sporting Cristal W
15%
Draws
49%
Universitario de Deportes W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Universitario de Deportes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Universitario de Deportes W come out ahead of Sporting Cristal W on wins alone.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Universitario de Deportes W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Universitario de Deportes W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Sporting Cristal W Clean Sheet 10%
Universitario de Deportes W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Cristal W Universitario de Deportes W
Matches Played 34 36
Wins 21 25
Draws 4 7
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 2.65 4.03
Goals Conceded 1.12 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Liga Women
Sporting Cristal W vs Universitario de Deportes W
1:3
Jul 18, 2026 Liga Women
Universitario de Deportes W vs Sporting Cristal W
3:1
Jul 12, 2026 Liga Women
Sporting Cristal W vs Universitario de Deportes W
2:2
Apr 25, 2026 Liga Women
Universitario de Deportes W vs Sporting Cristal W
3:1
Nov 2, 2025 Liga Women
Universitario de Deportes W vs Sporting Cristal W
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Cristal W 10 / 100
Universitario de Deportes W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Cristal W Universitario de Deportes W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Universitario de Deportes W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Cristal W scored in 82% of their last 34 games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sporting Cristal W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Universitario de Deportes W has conceded goals in 44% of their last 36 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Cristal W VS Universitario de Deportes W
2.75 Goals Scored 4.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Cristal W

(Home)
20 Sept
Sporting Cristal W
0 : 2
A. Lima W
13 Sept
Carlos Mannucci W
1 : 2
Sporting Cristal W
05 Sept
Sporting Cristal W
3 : 0
UNSAAC W
29 Aug
Killas W
0 : 4
Sporting Cristal W
22 Aug
Sporting Cristal W
0 : 2
Atl. Andahuaylas W
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Universitario de Deportes W

(Away)
26 Sept
UNSAAC W
2 : 5
Universitario de Deportes W
19 Sept
Universitario de Deportes W
4 : 0
Killas W
13 Sept
Universitario de Deportes W
5 : 0
Flamengo FBC W
05 Sept
Yanapuma W
3 : 9
Universitario de Deportes W
30 Aug
Universitario de Deportes W
2 : 3
A. Lima W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A. Lima W 10 10 0 0 33:2 30
2 Universitario de Deportes W 10 8 1 1 48:9 25
3 FBC Melgar W 10 7 0 3 28:10 21
4 Sporting Cristal W 10 7 0 3 24:10 21
5 Atl. Andahuaylas W 10 5 2 3 14:12 17
6 Carlos Mannucci W 10 4 1 5 15:30 13
7 Killas W 10 4 0 6 8:20 12
8 Flamengo FBC W 10 2 1 7 8:20 7
9 Yanapuma W 10 2 0 8 14:36 6
10 Defensores W 10 2 0 8 8:39 6
11 UNSAAC W 10 1 1 8 10:22 4
Promotion - Liga Women 2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Women 2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)