Sport Picks
Sporting da Brava vs Ultramarina
Cape Verde
Campeonato Nacional 2019 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Nacional 2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
35%
13%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sporting da Brava
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ultramarina lately — more wins on the board than Sporting da Brava.
- Sporting da Brava are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sporting da Brava Clean Sheet 20%
Ultramarina Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting da Brava | Ultramarina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 25 | 32 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.08 | 1.22 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 27, 2019 Campeonato Nacional
Ultramarina vs Sporting da Brava
2:2
Apr 20, 2019 Campeonato Nacional
Sporting da Brava vs Ultramarina
2:2
Jun 6, 2015 Campeonato Nacional
Ultramarina vs Sporting da Brava
4:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting da Brava 76 / 100
Ultramarina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting da Brava Ultramarina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sporting da Brava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ultramarina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Sporting da Brava scored in 60% of their last 25 games.
Sporting da Brava went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sporting da Brava VS Ultramarina
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting da Brava
(Home) 12 May
Santo Crucifixo
3 : 0 Sporting da Brava
04 May
Sporting da Brava
3 : 2 Academico 83
27 Apr
Ultramarina
2 : 2 Sporting da Brava
20 Apr
Sporting da Brava
2 : 2 Ultramarina
13 Apr
Sporting da Brava
2 : 1 Santo Crucifixo
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04 May
Sporting da Brava
3 : 2 Academico 83
20 Apr
Sporting da Brava
2 : 2 Ultramarina
13 Apr
Sporting da Brava
2 : 1 Santo Crucifixo
17 Jun
Sporting da Brava
0 : 0 Sporting Praia
03 Jun
Sporting da Brava
2 : 1 Sport Sal-Rei
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Ultramarina
(Away) 24 May
Ultramarina
0 : 0 Sanjoanenses
18 May
Boavista da Praia
3 : 0 Ultramarina
11 May
Ultramarina
1 : 1 Academica Praia
02 May
Palmeira
3 : 0 Ultramarina
26 Apr
Mindelense
2 : 1 Ultramarina
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18 May
Boavista da Praia
3 : 0 Ultramarina
02 May
Palmeira
3 : 0 Ultramarina
26 Apr
Mindelense
2 : 1 Ultramarina
15 Jun
Sanjoanenses
1 : 1 Ultramarina
26 May
Boavista da Praia
3 : 0 Ultramarina
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mindelense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 2 | Academica Praia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 8 |
| 3 | Academica Porto Novo | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 4 | Academica do Fogo | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2019 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ultramarina | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 11 |
| 2 | Santo Crucifixo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Sporting da Brava | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:12 | 8 |
| 4 | Academico 83 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 5 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2019 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oasis | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:8 | 11 |
| 2 | Onze Estrelas | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 10 |
| 3 | Celtic | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:1 | 9 |
| 4 | GD Varandinha | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:9 | 2 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2019 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
