Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting FC vs Alajuelense

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio Puente de Piedra, Grecia
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Salas Y.
29' Event
Carballo R.
46'
Sub
Hernandez A. In: Michel K.
Out: Hernandez A.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division game between Sporting FC and Alajuelense finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Sporting FC
33%
Draws
40%
Alajuelense
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Alajuelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alajuelense come out ahead of Sporting FC on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Alajuelense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Sporting FC Clean Sheet 16%
Alajuelense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting FC Alajuelense
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs Alajuelense
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs Alajuelense
0:2
Feb 16, 2026 Primera Division
Alajuelense vs Sporting FC
1:2
Nov 23, 2025 Primera Division
Alajuelense vs Sporting FC
2:0
Jul 28, 2025 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs Alajuelense
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Carballo R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Alajuelense Compare

Top Goalscorer Michel K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting FC 28 / 100
Alajuelense 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting FC Alajuelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LDA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alajuelense has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Sporting FC scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Sporting FC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting FC VS Alajuelense
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting FC

(Home)
07 Jul
Atletico San Luis
4 : 0
Sporting FC
26 Apr
Herediano
0 : 0
Sporting FC
22 Apr
Sporting FC
0 : 1
Liberia
19 Apr
Puntarenas FC
1 : 2
Sporting FC
16 Apr
Sporting FC
1 : 3
Saprissa
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Alajuelense

(Away)
12 Jul
Alajuelense
0 : 1
Herediano
26 Apr
Liberia
2 : 1
Alajuelense
24 Apr
Alajuelense
5 : 2
Puntarenas FC
19 Apr
Alajuelense
1 : 1
Saprissa
12 Apr
Sporting FC
0 : 2
Alajuelense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saprissa11005:13
2Cartagines11003:13
3Alajuelense10101:11
4Herediano10101:11
5Puntarenas FC10101:11
6Sporting FC10101:11
7San Carlos00000:00
8Escorpiones00000:00
9Inter San Carlos10011:30
10Zeledon10011:50
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)