Sport Picks
Sporting FC vs Alajuelense Prediction & H2H Stats
Costa Rica
Primera Division Estadio Puente de Piedra, Grecia 
Match Events
13'
13'
Salas Y.
29'
29'
Carballo R.
46'
46'
Sub
Hernandez A. In: Michel K.
Out: Hernandez A.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Division game between Sporting FC and Alajuelense finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Alajuelense's 1.63 goals per match outpaces what Sporting FC have produced (1.38).
- 54% — that's where the model lands on Sporting FC taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Sporting FC Clean Sheet 68%
Alajuelense Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting FC | Alajuelense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs Alajuelense
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs Alajuelense
0:2
Feb 16, 2026 Primera Division
Alajuelense vs Sporting FC
1:2
Nov 23, 2025 Primera Division
Alajuelense vs Sporting FC
2:0
Jul 28, 2025 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs Alajuelense
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sporting FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Carballo R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Alajuelense Compare
Top Goalscorer Michel K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting FC 68 / 100
Alajuelense 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting FC Alajuelense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sporting FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sporting FC scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Alajuelense conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Recent resilience: Sporting FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sporting FC VS Alajuelense
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting FC
(Home) 19 Sept
Zeledon
1 : 2 Sporting FC
13 Sept
Sporting FC
4 : 2 Saprissa
07 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0 Sporting FC
29 Aug
Sporting FC
2 : 0 Inter San Carlos
23 Aug
Herediano
0 : 3 Sporting FC
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Sporting FC
4 : 2 Saprissa
29 Aug
Sporting FC
2 : 0 Inter San Carlos
18 Aug
Sporting FC
2 : 0 Escorpiones
26 Jul
Sporting FC
1 : 1 Alajuelense
22 Apr
Sporting FC
0 : 1 Liberia
Page 1 of 3
Alajuelense
(Away) 20 Sept
Alajuelense
5 : 0 Inter San Carlos
18 Sept
Alajuelense
3 : 1 Marathon
14 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 1 Alajuelense
11 Sept
Marathon
2 : 2 Alajuelense
06 Sept
Alajuelense
0 : 2 Saprissa
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 1 Alajuelense
11 Sept
Marathon
2 : 2 Alajuelense
30 Aug
Zeledon
1 : 1 Alajuelense
21 Aug
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 0 Alajuelense
10 Aug
Herediano
0 : 3 Alajuelense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saprissa | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 2 | Cartagines | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18:10 | 18 |
| 3 | Sporting FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:8 | 17 |
| 4 | San Carlos | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 8:9 | 15 |
| 5 | Alajuelense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:10 | 14 |
| 6 | Inter San Carlos | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 14 |
| 7 | Puntarenas FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | 11 |
| 8 | Zeledon | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | 8 |
| 9 | Herediano | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8:14 | 7 |
| 10 | Escorpiones | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
