Sport Picks

Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Ernesto Rohrmoser Lahmann

Sporting FC

2 - 3

Cartagines

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Lopez A.

(Penalty)

30'

Pineda C.

44'

Alfaro B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cartagines in this Primera Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cartagines.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Sporting FC

Draws

90%

Cartagines

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cartagines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Sporting FC haven't matched Cartagines's recent run of results.
Cartagines are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Sporting FC Clean Sheet 14%

Cartagines Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sporting FC	Cartagines
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	11
Draws	8	6
Losses	12	13
Goals Scored	1	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Primera Division

Sporting FC vs Cartagines

Possession: 44% - 52% Cards: 2 - 0

2:3

Feb 12, 2026 Copa Costa Rica

Cartagines vs Sporting FC

Possession: 40% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

Feb 4, 2026 Copa Costa Rica

Sporting FC vs Cartagines

Possession: 53% - 54% Cards: 3 - 0

4:1

Jan 30, 2026 Primera Division

Cartagines vs Sporting FC

Possession: 46% - 60% Cards: 1 - 0

0:2

Sep 21, 2025 Primera Division

Cartagines vs Sporting FC

Possession: 56% - 58% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendez J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Cartagines Compare

Top Goalscorer Mora J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gonzalez Hernandez D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting FC 10 / 100

Cartagines 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sporting FC Cartagines

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSC Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Cartagines conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Sporting FC scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Sporting FC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sporting FC VS Cartagines

1 Goals Scored 1.75

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Herediano	18	12	2	4	26:10	38
2	Saprissa	18	10	4	4	34:19	34
3	Liberia	18	10	3	5	24:18	33
4	Cartagines	18	10	2	6	26:20	32
5	Alajuelense	18	7	5	6	28:20	26
6	Sporting FC	18	6	4	8	16:21	22
7	San Carlos	18	6	3	9	21:25	21
8	Puntarenas FC	18	4	4	10	22:29	16
9	Zeledon	18	2	8	8	19:30	14
10	Guadalupe	18	3	5	10	13:37	14