Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2017/2018

Sporting Ideal

1 - 0

Almodovar

Our Tip

Match Events

72'

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sporting Ideal in this Taça de Portugal 2017/2018 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Sporting Ideal

15%

Draws

42%

Almodovar

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Ideal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence

Sporting Ideal have won more games recently than Almodovar.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Sporting Ideal have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Sporting Ideal, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 69%

Over 4.5 Goals 31%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%

Sporting Ideal Clean Sheet 20%

Almodovar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sporting Ideal	Almodovar
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	9	4
Draws	7	5
Losses	15	21
Goals Scored	1.13	0.9
Goals Conceded	1.58	2.4
Expected Goals (xG)	3.00	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2017 Taça de Portugal

Sporting Ideal vs Almodovar

1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Ideal 32 / 100

Almodovar 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sporting Ideal Almodovar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almodovar Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almodovar has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Almodovar lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Sporting Ideal's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Ideal VS Almodovar

1 Goals Scored 1

1.25 Goals Conceded 5

63% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 100%

38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Ideal

(Home)

08 May

SC Praiense

3 : 0

Sporting Ideal

01 May

Sporting Ideal

1 : 0

CD Rabo Peixe

24 Apr

Sporting Ideal

1 : 2

Operario

10 Apr

Sporting Ideal

2 : 4

SC Praiense

03 Apr

CD Rabo Peixe

6 : 0

Sporting Ideal

Page 1 of 7

Almodovar

(Away)

21 Sept

SC Espinho

5 : 1

Almodovar

23 Sept

Sporting Ideal

1 : 0

Almodovar

03 Sept

Almodovar

5 : 2

CDR Quarteirense

17 May

Moura AC

5 : 0

Almodovar

11 May

Almodovar

0 : 2

Louletano

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Moreirense -

TBD -

GD Resende 1

Lamego 0

Uniao Lamas 2

Canelas 2010 3

Operario 2

Charneca Caparica 0

Recreativo Canaviais 1

Guadalupe 4

Pedras Salgadas 2

CDC Montalegre 0

Machico 0

FC Felgueiras 4

Chaves -

TBD -

Electrico FC 3

Mosteirense 0

Macao 0

Fatima 4

BSAD -

TBD -

Gondomar 3

Regua 1

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

TBD -

Aguia Vimioso 1

Desportivo Moncao 0

TBD -

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira -

Academico Viseu -

TBD -

Fornos de Algodres 1

Lusitano FCV 4

TBD -

Feirense -

Portimonense -

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

TBD -

Ferreiras 2

Moura AC 5

Lusitano GC 3

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1

GD Coruchense 2

Pero Pinheiro 5

TBD -

FC Porto -

Cova De Piedade -

TBD -

Atletico Arcos 3

Minas de Argozelo 5

Pedras Rubras 3

Camacha 1

Agueda 0

Anadia 1

Amarante FC 1

AD Fafe 0

TBD -

Varzim -

Almodovar 5

CDR Quarteirense 2

CD Rabo Peixe 0

Sporting Ideal 3

AD Oliveirense 5

Sendim 0

Vilafranquense 1

Mafra 2

Mortagua FC 5

Figueirense 1

GS Loures 1

Torreense 2

GD Uniao Torcatense 2

Esposende 1

Oriental 1

Lusitano VRSA 2

TBD -

Maritimo -

Vilaverdense FC 2

GD Braganca 0

Tocha 1

Esmoriz 2

TBD -

Boavista -

Sintrense 2

FC Crato 1

Aroes 0

Trofense 1

Covilha -

TBD -

Mondinense 0

Vizela 3

Famalicao -

TBD -

Rio Tinto 0

Coimbroes 1

SC Salgueiros 3

Cinfaes 2

FC Flamengos 0

Alta Lisboa 4

Oleiros 1

Alcanenense 0

Paredes 0

Sousense 2

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Rio Ave -

TBD -

FC Crato -

TBD -

SC Sabugal 2

Sanjoanense 3

Sao Martinho 2

SC Vila Real 1

Riachense 0

UC Idanhense 2

TBD -

Braga -

Vitoria Setubal -

TBD -

Leiria e Marrazes -

TBD -

Pinhalnovense -

Olhanense 3

Almancilense 1

TBD -

Lamego -

TBD -

Benfica -

U. Madeira -

TBD -

Sertanense -

Marinhense 2

Sertanense 0

TBD -

Oriental -

Gafanha 1

Nogueirense 0

TBD -

SC Lourinhanense -

Maria de Fonte 2

SC Mirandela 1

Camara de Lobos 0

Freamunde 2

Leiria 3

GD Sourense 0

Leiria e Marrazes 1

SB Castelo Branco 5

Moncarapachense 1

Armacenenses 0

Alianca de Gandra 0

SC Espinho 1

SC Vila Real -

TBD -

Oliveirense -

TBD -

Aves -

Caldas SC 2

SC Lourinhanense 0

SC Lusitania 0

Montijo 3

Aguias do Moradal 2

Alcains 1

Ferreira de Aves 0

FC Cesarense 1

GD Coruchense -

TBD -

Mondinense -

Sacavenense 2

1º Dezembro 0

TBD -

Arouca -

Nacional -

TBD -

SC Pombal 0

Condeixa 3

Real SC -

TBD -

Cerveira 1

Merelinense 3

Pacos Ferreira -

TBD -

SC Mirandela -

TBD -

Academica -

SC Praiense 4

Vale Formoso 1

Castrense 1

Louletano 2

GD Braganca -

TBD -

Alcains -

Casa Pia 2

Pinhalnovense 0

TBD -

Recreativo Canaviais -

Penafiel -

TBD -

Vilafranquense -

Leixoes -

TBD -

GD Sourense -

TBD -

Tondela -

Estoril -

TBD -

Amora 3

Vitoria FC Pico 0

Estrela Vendas Novas 1

SC Farense 7

1/64-finals

Moreirense -

TBD -

GD Resende 0

Canelas 2010 3

Operario 3

Guadalupe 2

Pedras Salgadas 1

FC Felgueiras 2

Chaves -

TBD -

Electrico FC 2

Fatima 4

BSAD -

TBD -

Gondomar 0

Santa Clara 1

Vitoria Guimaraes -

TBD -

Aguia Vimioso 2

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 3

Academico Viseu 1

Lusitano FCV 0

TBD -

Feirense -

Portimonense -

TBD -

Gil Vicente 0

Moura AC 1

Lusitano GC 4

Pero Pinheiro 1

TBD -

FC Porto -

Cova De Piedade 4

Minas de Argozelo 0

Pedras Rubras 0

Anadia 4

Amarante FC 1

Varzim 0

Almodovar 0

Sporting Ideal 1

AD Oliveirense 2

Mafra 1

Mortagua FC 0

Torreense 2

GD Uniao Torcatense 2

Lusitano VRSA 0

TBD -

Maritimo -

Vilaverdense FC 1

Esmoriz 0

TBD -

Boavista -

Sintrense 1

Trofense 0

Covilha 1

Vizela 2

Famalicao 3

Coimbroes 1

SC Salgueiros 2

Alta Lisboa 3

Oleiros 3

Sousense 0

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Rio Ave -

TBD -

FC Crato 0

Sanjoanense 3

Sao Martinho 4

UC Idanhense 0

TBD -

Braga -

Vitoria Setubal -

TBD -

Leiria e Marrazes 0

Pinhalnovense 4

Olhanense 4

Lamego 1

TBD -

Benfica -

U. Madeira 2

Sertanense 0

Marinhense 0

Oriental 1

Gafanha 3

SC Lourinhanense 2

Maria de Fonte 2

Freamunde 4

Leiria 2

SB Castelo Branco 0

Moncarapachense 0

SC Espinho 1

SC Vila Real 1

Oliveirense 0

TBD -

Aves -

Caldas SC 1

Montijo 0

Aguias do Moradal 2

FC Cesarense 3

GD Coruchense 5

Mondinense 2

Sacavenense 0

Arouca 1

Nacional 3

Condeixa 1

Real SC 1

Merelinense 3

Pacos Ferreira -

TBD -

SC Mirandela 1

Academica 2

SC Praiense 2

Louletano 0

GD Braganca 1

Alcains 2

Casa Pia 5

Recreativo Canaviais 0

Penafiel 0

Vilafranquense 1

Leixoes 2

GD Sourense 0

TBD -

Tondela -

Estoril -

TBD -

Amora 2

SC Farense 3

1/32-finals

Moreirense 3

Canelas 2010 1

Operario 2

FC Felgueiras 4

Chaves 3

Fatima 0

BSAD 1

Santa Clara 2

Vitoria Guimaraes 6

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1

Academico Viseu 0

Feirense 1

Portimonense 1

Moura AC 0

Lusitano GC 0

FC Porto 6

Cova De Piedade 2

Anadia 1

Amarante FC 1

Sporting Ideal 2

AD Oliveirense 1

Torreense 0

GD Uniao Torcatense 0

Maritimo 1

Vilaverdense FC 1

Boavista 0

Sintrense 1

Vizela 3

Famalicao 2

Alta Lisboa 0

Oleiros 2

Sporting CP 4

Rio Ave 4

Sanjoanense 0

Sao Martinho 2

Braga 3

Vitoria Setubal 2

Pinhalnovense 1

Olhanense 0

Benfica 1

U. Madeira 3

Oriental 2

Gafanha 0

Freamunde 1

Leiria 2

SC Espinho 0

SC Vila Real 0

Aves 1

Caldas SC 2

FC Cesarense 1

GD Coruchense 0

Arouca 3

Nacional 4

Merelinense 2

Pacos Ferreira 1

Academica 2

SC Praiense 4

Alcains 1

Casa Pia 1

Vilafranquense 2

Leixoes 3

Tondela 2

Estoril 0

SC Farense 1

1/16-finals

Moreirense 5

FC Felgueiras 2

Chaves 0

Santa Clara 2

Vitoria Guimaraes 2

Feirense 1

Portimonense 2

FC Porto 3

Cova De Piedade 4

Sporting Ideal 1

AD Oliveirense 2

Maritimo 3

Vilaverdense FC 3

Vizela 2

Famalicao 0

Sporting CP 2

Rio Ave 1

Braga 0

Vitoria Setubal 0

Benfica 2

U. Madeira 4

Freamunde 2

Leiria 0

Aves 3

Caldas SC 2

Arouca 1

Nacional 0

Academica 1

SC Praiense 3

Vilafranquense 2

Leixoes 1

SC Farense 2

1/8-finals

Moreirense 3

Santa Clara 2

Vitoria Guimaraes 0

FC Porto 4

Cova De Piedade 1

Maritimo 0

Vilaverdense FC 0

Sporting CP 4

Rio Ave 3

Benfica 2

U. Madeira 1

Aves 5

Caldas SC 2

Academica 1

SC Praiense 0

SC Farense 1

Quarter-finals

Moreirense 1

FC Porto 2

Cova De Piedade 1

Sporting CP 2

Rio Ave 4

Aves 5

Caldas SC 3

SC Farense 2

Semi-finals

FC Porto 1

Sporting CP 2

Aves 3

Caldas SC 1

Final

Sporting CP 1

Aves 2

Sporting Ideal vs Almodovar

Portugal

Sporting Ideal

Almodovar

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Ideal

Almodovar

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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